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Beleza W vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima W

Japan Japan

WE League Cup Women 2025/2026 Ajinomoto Stadium, Tokyo
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Kobayashi R.
31' Event
Muramatsu T.
37' Event
Hiwatari M.

AI Match Summary

Beleza W in this WE League Cup Women 2025/2026 tie, finishing 3-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Beleza W
28%
Draws
50%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Sanfrecce Hiroshima W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Beleza W average 2.5 goals a game right now, well clear of Sanfrecce Hiroshima W's 1.88.
  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima W are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Sanfrecce Hiroshima W, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Beleza W Clean Sheet 14%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Beleza W Sanfrecce Hiroshima W
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 19 19
Draws 3 7
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 2.5 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 WE League Women
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W vs Beleza W
2:0
Apr 18, 2026 WE League Cup Women
Beleza W vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima W
3:1
Apr 12, 2026 WE League Cup Women
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W vs Beleza W
3:2
Nov 22, 2025 Empress's Cup Women
Beleza W vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima W
1:2
Oct 4, 2025 WE League Women
Beleza W vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Beleza W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kobayashi R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Muramatsu T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Sanfrecce Hiroshima W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kamiya C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Beleza W 23 / 100
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Beleza W Sanfrecce Hiroshima W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Beleza W found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (32 games).

Defensive concern: Sanfrecce Hiroshima W conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.

Recent resilience: Beleza W stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Beleza W VS Sanfrecce Hiroshima W
2.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Beleza W

(Home)
23 May
Beleza W
0 : 1
Naegohyang W
20 May
Melbourne City W
1 : 3
Beleza W
16 May
Beleza W
2 : 1
Albirex Niigata W
10 May
Urawa W
1 : 0
Beleza W
03 May
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W
2 : 0
Beleza W
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Sanfrecce Hiroshima W

(Away)
16 May
Inac Kobe Leonesa W
0 : 1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W
10 May
C-Osaka W
0 : 0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W
03 May
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W
2 : 0
Beleza W
25 Apr
AC Parceiro Nagano W
1 : 5
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W
18 Apr
Beleza W
3 : 1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
C-Osaka W4
Omiya Ardija W6
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W4
Beleza W5
Final
Omiya Ardija W2
Beleza W3