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Belford Roxo vs FC Rio de Janeiro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Carioca B2 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Belford Roxo
20%
Draws
34%
FC Rio de Janeiro
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Belford Roxo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Belford Roxo lately — more wins on the board than FC Rio de Janeiro.
  • Model gives Belford Roxo a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Carioca B2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Belford Roxo Clean Sheet 10%
FC Rio de Janeiro Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Belford Roxo FC Rio de Janeiro
Matches Played 27 26
Wins 8 6
Draws 11 3
Losses 8 17
Goals Scored 1.44 1.15
Goals Conceded 1.37 2.12
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Carioca B2
Belford Roxo vs FC Rio de Janeiro
0:0
Oct 26, 2025 Carioca B2
Belford Roxo vs FC Rio de Janeiro
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belford Roxo 38 / 100
FC Rio de Janeiro 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Belford Roxo FC Rio de Janeiro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Belford Roxo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Rio de Janeiro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 26 matches.

Belford Roxo's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Belford Roxo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Belford Roxo VS FC Rio de Janeiro
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Belford Roxo

(Home)
06 Oct
7 de Abril
0 : 2
Belford Roxo
01 Oct
Belford Roxo
3 : 0
Santa Cruz RJ
27 Sept
Friburguense
2 : 2
Belford Roxo
20 Sept
Belford Roxo
1 : 2
Cardoso Moreira
13 Sept
Campos AA
2 : 2
Belford Roxo
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FC Rio de Janeiro

(Away)
05 Oct
Paraty
0 : 4
FC Rio de Janeiro
01 Oct
FC Rio de Janeiro
2 : 0
Barra Mansa
27 Sept
Serra Macaense
2 : 1
FC Rio de Janeiro
21 Sept
FC Rio de Janeiro
1 : 3
Santa Cruz RJ
13 Sept
Cardoso Moreira
1 : 0
FC Rio de Janeiro
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Friburguense 7 5 2 0 12:4 17
2 Serra Macaense 7 4 1 2 14:8 13
3 Cardoso Moreira 7 4 1 2 9:5 13
4 Belford Roxo 7 3 3 1 14:6 12
5 Santa Cruz RJ 7 4 0 3 9:8 12
6 Paduano EC 7 3 2 2 9:6 11
7 FC Rio de Janeiro 7 3 1 3 11:7 10
8 7 de Abril 7 3 1 3 10:10 10
9 Campos AA 7 2 3 2 11:11 9
10 Barra Mansa 7 1 4 2 6:10 7
11 Buzios 7 1 0 6 5:18 3
12 Paraty 7 0 0 7 4:21 0
Promotion - Carioca B2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca C 2027 (Main)