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Belford Roxo vs FC Rio de Janeiro Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Dongo
74' Event
Dongo
86' Event
Hudson

AI Match Summary

The Carioca B2 2025 game between Belford Roxo and FC Rio de Janeiro finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Belford Roxo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Belford Roxo
35%
Draws
26%
FC Rio de Janeiro
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Belford Roxo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Belford Roxo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Belford Roxo a 39% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Carioca B2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Belford Roxo Clean Sheet 68%
FC Rio de Janeiro Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Belford Roxo FC Rio de Janeiro
Matches Played 26 25
Wins 7 5
Draws 11 3
Losses 8 17
Goals Scored 1.42 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.42 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Carioca B2
Belford Roxo vs FC Rio de Janeiro
0:0
Oct 26, 2025 Carioca B2
Belford Roxo vs FC Rio de Janeiro
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Belford Roxo Compare

Top Goalscorer Dongo
2 Goals
Assists Leader Hudson
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

FC Rio de Janeiro Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belford Roxo 68 / 100
FC Rio de Janeiro 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Belford Roxo FC Rio de Janeiro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Belford Roxo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Rio de Janeiro let in goals in 84% of their last 25 matches.

Attacking prowess: Belford Roxo scored in 73% of their last 26 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Belford Roxo stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Belford Roxo VS FC Rio de Janeiro
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Belford Roxo

(Home)
01 Oct
Belford Roxo
3 : 0
Santa Cruz RJ
27 Sept
Friburguense
2 : 2
Belford Roxo
20 Sept
Belford Roxo
1 : 2
Cardoso Moreira
13 Sept
Campos AA
2 : 2
Belford Roxo
06 Sept
Belford Roxo
0 : 0
FC Rio de Janeiro
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FC Rio de Janeiro

(Away)
01 Oct
FC Rio de Janeiro
2 : 0
Barra Mansa
27 Sept
Serra Macaense
2 : 1
FC Rio de Janeiro
21 Sept
FC Rio de Janeiro
1 : 3
Santa Cruz RJ
13 Sept
Cardoso Moreira
1 : 0
FC Rio de Janeiro
06 Sept
Belford Roxo
0 : 0
FC Rio de Janeiro
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santa Cruz RJ 8 7 1 0 14:3 22
2 Belford Roxo 8 5 1 2 17:8 16
3 Goytacaz 8 5 1 2 13:8 16
4 Macae 8 4 1 3 13:5 13
5 Serra Macaense 8 3 4 1 9:7 13
6 Paraty 8 2 2 4 9:10 8
7 7 de Abril 8 2 2 4 11:13 8
8 FC Rio de Janeiro 8 1 0 7 7:25 3
9 Barra Mansa 8 0 2 6 4:18 2
Promotion - Carioca B2 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca C (Main)