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Belford Roxo vs Sao Goncalo

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B1 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Carioca B1 2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Belford Roxo
6%
Draws
90%
Sao Goncalo
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sao Goncalo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sao Goncalo lately — more wins on the board than Belford Roxo.
  • Win probability leans Sao Goncalo's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Carioca B1 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 20%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Belford Roxo Clean Sheet 15%
Sao Goncalo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Belford Roxo Sao Goncalo
Matches Played 20 38
Wins 5 13
Draws 8 14
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1 0.5
Goals Conceded 2.6 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.60 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2024 Carioca B1
Belford Roxo vs Sao Goncalo
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belford Roxo 10 / 100
Sao Goncalo 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Belford Roxo Sao Goncalo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Belford Roxo scored in 70% of their last 20 outings.

Sao Goncalo has conceded goals in 58% of their last 38 outings.

Historical meetings average 0.00 goals per match.

Belford Roxo went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Belford Roxo VS Sao Goncalo
1 Goals Scored 0.5
2.6 Goals Conceded 1.13
80% Over 1.5 50%
60% Over 2.5 25%
40% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Artsul851210:516
2Paduano EC85126:316
3Sao Goncalo834110:213
4Perolas Negras83238:911
5Friburguense82425:410
6Nova Cidade824210:1110
7Sao Cristovao82153:97
8Serrano FC81345:96
9Belford Roxo80625:106