Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Belgium U18 vs Italy U18

World World

Friendly International 2025 Proximus Basecamp, Tubize
Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event
Iddrissou J.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2025 game between Belgium U18 and Italy U18 finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Italy U18.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Belgium U18
20%
Draws
40%
Italy U18
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Belgium U18 come out ahead of Italy U18 on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Friendly International 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Belgium U18 Clean Sheet 16%
Italy U18 Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Belgium U18 Italy U18
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 13 12
Draws 2 7
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.56 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.60 1.46
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2025 Friendly International
Belgium U18 vs Italy U18
1:1
Mar 21, 2025 Friendly International
Belgium U18 vs Italy U18
0:1
Mar 23, 2020 Friendly International
Italy U18 vs Belgium U18
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Belgium U18 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.46
Avg xA / game 0.3

Italy U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Iddrissou J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.81

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belgium U18 31 / 100
Italy U18 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Belgium U18 Italy U18

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Italy U18 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Belgium U18 found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (27 games).

Away concern: Italy U18 has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Italy U18 let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Belgium U18 VS Italy U18
0.83 Goals Scored 0.75
2.17 Goals Conceded 0.38
67% Over 1.5 25%
50% Over 2.5 13%
33% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Belgium U18

(Home)
09 Sept
Qatar U17
1 : 2
Belgium U18
06 Sept
South Korea U18
3 : 2
Belgium U18
03 Sept
Croatia U18
7 : 0
Belgium U18
24 Mar
Belgium U18
1 : 1
Italy U18
21 Mar
Belgium U18
0 : 1
Italy U18
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Italy U18

(Away)
30 Aug
Italy U18
1 : 4
Morocco U20
28 Aug
Italy U18
1 : 3
Tunisia U21
26 Aug
Kosovo U21
0 : 3
Italy U18
24 Aug
Italy U18
1 : 3
Algeria U21
22 Aug
Italy U18
1 : 1
Albania U21
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