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Belgium U23 W vs Portugal U23 W

World World

Friendly International Women 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Pintassilgo L.
37' Event
Vanzeir L.
83' Event
Pintassilgo L.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Friendly International Women 2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Belgium U23 W
33%
Draws
40%
Portugal U23 W
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Portugal U23 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Belgium U23 W lately — more wins on the board than Portugal U23 W.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Portugal U23 W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Belgium U23 W Clean Sheet 20%
Portugal U23 W Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Belgium U23 W Portugal U23 W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 4
Draws 6 5
Losses 19 21
Goals Scored 0.75 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2026 Friendly International Women
Belgium U23 W vs Portugal U23 W
0:1
Dec 4, 2023 Friendly International Women
Belgium U23 W vs Portugal U23 W
2:2
Feb 16, 2023 Friendly International Women
Belgium U23 W vs Portugal U23 W
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Belgium U23 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Vanzeir L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kerkhove A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Portugal U23 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Pintassilgo L.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belgium U23 W 28 / 100
Portugal U23 W 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Belgium U23 W Portugal U23 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portugal U23 W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.33 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Portugal U23 W has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Belgium U23 W scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Belgium U23 W VS Portugal U23 W
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%