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Belgium vs Kazakhstan Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

World Championship 2026 Lotto Park, Anderlecht
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Kasym A.
42' Event
De Bruyne K.
Assist: De Ketelaere C.
44' Event
Doku J.
Assist: De Bruyne K.

AI Match Summary

Belgium in this World Championship 2026 matchup, with the score ending 6-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Belgium.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Belgium
20%
Draws
29%
Kazakhstan
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Belgium

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Belgium lately — more wins on the board than Kazakhstan.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Belgium taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this World Championship 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Belgium have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Belgium Clean Sheet 68%
Kazakhstan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Belgium Kazakhstan
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 14 5
Draws 7 5
Losses 7 17
Goals Scored 2.43 0.85
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 0.73
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 15, 2025 World Championship
Kazakhstan vs Belgium
1:1
Sep 7, 2025 World Championship
Belgium vs Kazakhstan
6:0
Oct 13, 2019 Euro
Kazakhstan vs Belgium
0:2
Jun 8, 2019 Euro
Belgium vs Kazakhstan
3:0
Oct 7, 2011 Euro
Belgium vs Kazakhstan
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Belgium Compare

Top Goalscorer De Bruyne K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Doku J.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Kazakhstan Compare

Avg xG / game 0.66
Avg xA / game 0.41

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belgium 86 / 100
Kazakhstan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Belgium Kazakhstan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Belgium Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Belgium scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Kazakhstan conceded in 78% of 27 recent games.

Solid form: Belgium remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Belgium VS Kazakhstan
2.63 Goals Scored 0.71
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 57%
50% Over 2.5 29%
50% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Belgium

(Home)
28 Sept
Belgium
0 : 1
France
25 Sept
Italy
0 : 2
Belgium
10 Jul
Spain
2 : 1
Belgium
07 Jul
USA
1 : 4
Belgium
01 Jul
Belgium
3 : 2
Senegal
Page 1 of 6

Kazakhstan

(Away)
29 Sept
Slovakia
2 : 1
Kazakhstan
26 Sept
Faroe Islands
1 : 1
Kazakhstan
09 Jun
Hungary
3 : 1
Kazakhstan
06 Jun
Armenia
1 : 1
Kazakhstan
31 Mar
Kazakhstan
1 : 0
Comoros
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany 6 5 0 1 16:3 15
2 Slovakia 6 4 0 2 6:8 12
3 Northern Ireland 6 3 0 3 7:6 9
4 Luxembourg 6 0 0 6 1:13 0
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League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Switzerland 6 4 2 0 14:2 14
2 Kosovo 6 3 2 1 6:5 11
3 Slovenia 6 0 4 2 3:8 4
4 Sweden 6 0 2 4 4:12 2
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League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scotland 6 4 1 1 13:7 13
2 Denmark 6 3 2 1 16:7 11
3 Greece 6 2 1 3 10:12 7
4 Belarus 6 0 2 4 4:17 2
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League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France 6 5 1 0 16:4 16
2 Ukraine 6 3 1 2 10:11 10
3 Iceland 6 2 1 3 13:11 7
4 Azerbaijan 6 0 1 5 3:16 1
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League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain 6 5 1 0 21:2 16
2 Turkey 6 4 1 1 17:12 13
3 Georgia 6 1 0 5 7:15 3
4 Bulgaria 6 1 0 5 3:19 3
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League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal 6 4 1 1 20:7 13
2 Ireland 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
3 Hungary 6 2 2 2 11:10 8
4 Armenia 6 1 0 5 3:19 3
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League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Netherlands 8 6 2 0 27:4 20
2 Poland 8 5 2 1 14:7 17
3 Finland 8 3 1 4 8:14 10
4 Malta 8 1 2 5 4:19 5
5 Lithuania 8 0 3 5 6:15 3
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League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austria 8 6 1 1 22:4 19
2 Bosnia & Herzegovina 8 5 2 1 17:7 17
3 Romania 8 4 1 3 19:10 13
4 Cyprus 8 2 2 4 11:11 8
5 San Marino 8 0 0 8 2:39 0
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League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norway 8 8 0 0 37:5 24
2 Italy 8 6 0 2 21:12 18
3 Israel 8 4 0 4 19:20 12
4 Estonia 8 1 1 6 8:21 4
5 Moldova 8 0 1 7 5:32 1
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League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belgium 8 5 3 0 29:7 18
2 Wales 8 5 1 2 21:11 16
3 North Macedonia 8 3 4 1 13:10 13
4 Kazakhstan 8 2 2 4 9:13 8
5 Liechtenstein 8 0 0 8 0:31 0
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League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England 8 8 0 0 22:0 24
2 Albania 8 4 2 2 7:5 14
3 Serbia 8 4 1 3 9:10 13
4 Latvia 8 1 2 5 5:15 5
5 Andorra 8 0 1 7 3:16 1
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League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Croatia 8 7 1 0 26:4 22
2 Czech Republic 8 5 1 2 18:8 16
3 Faroe Islands 8 4 0 4 11:9 12
4 Montenegro 8 3 0 5 8:17 9
5 Gibraltar 8 0 0 8 3:28 0
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