Sport Picks

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Belgium vs Senegal

World World

World Championship 2026 Lumen Field, Seattle, WA
Wed, Jul 1, 2026
3 - 2
08:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Diarra H.
46'
Sub
De Ketelaere C. In: Lukaku R.
Out: De Ketelaere C.
51' Event
Sarr I.
Assist: Niakhate M.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-2, with Belgium advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Belgium
20%
Draws
23%
Senegal
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Belgium

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Senegal carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Belgium are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Senegal arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Belgium, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Belgium Clean Sheet 20%
Senegal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Belgium Senegal
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 16
Draws 8 4
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 2.27 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 1, 2026 World Championship
Belgium vs Senegal
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Belgium Compare

Top Goalscorer Lukaku R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tielemans Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Senegal Compare

Top Goalscorer Diarra H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sarr I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belgium 85 / 100
Senegal 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Belgium Senegal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Belgium Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Belgium scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Belgium has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Senegal's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Belgium VS Senegal
2.75 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Belgium

(Home)
10 Jul
Spain
2 : 1
Belgium
07 Jul
USA
1 : 4
Belgium
01 Jul
Belgium
3 : 2
Senegal
27 Jun
New Zealand
1 : 5
Belgium
21 Jun
Belgium
0 : 0
Iran
Page 1 of 6

Senegal

(Away)
01 Jul
Belgium
3 : 2
Senegal
26 Jun
Senegal
5 : 0
Iraq
23 Jun
Norway
3 : 2
Senegal
16 Jun
France
3 : 1
Senegal
09 Jun
Saudi Arabia
0 : 0
Senegal
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Germany 1
Paraguay 2
France 3
Sweden 0
South Africa 0
Canada 1
Netherlands 1
Morocco 2
Portugal 2
Croatia 1
Spain 3
Austria 0
USA 2
Bosnia & Herzegovina 0
Belgium 3
Senegal 2
Brazil 2
Japan 1
Ivory Coast 1
Norway 2
Mexico 2
Ecuador 0
England 2
D.R. Congo 1
Argentina 3
Cape Verde 2
Australia 1
Egypt 2
Switzerland 2
Algeria 0
Colombia 1
Ghana 0
1/8-finals
Paraguay 0
France 1
Canada 0
Morocco 3
Portugal 0
Spain 1
USA 1
Belgium 4
Brazil 1
Norway 2
Mexico 2
England 3
Argentina 3
Egypt 2
Switzerland 1
Colombia 0
Quarter-finals
France 2
Morocco 0
Spain 2
Belgium 1
Norway 1
England 2
Argentina 3
Switzerland 1
Semi-finals
France 0
Spain 2
England 1
Argentina 2
Final
Spain 1
Argentina 0
France 4
England 6