Sport Picks

World

World Championship 2026 King Baudouin Stadium

Belgium

4 - 3

Wales

Our Tip

Match Events

15'

Lukaku R.

(Penalty)

16'

Sub

Meunier T. In: De Winter K.

Out: Meunier T.

17'

Ampadu E.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Belgium in this World Championship 2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Belgium.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Belgium

33%

Draws

27%

Wales

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Belgium

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Belgium lately — more wins on the board than Wales.
Model gives Belgium a 40% chance of winning this.
European nights carry their own weight — this World Championship 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%

Over 1.5 Goals 87%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 39.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 18%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%

Belgium Clean Sheet 17%

Wales Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Belgium	Wales
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	14	12
Draws	8	10
Losses	8	8
Goals Scored	3.13	2
Goals Conceded	0.75	1.57
Expected Goals (xG)	3.13	2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	1.57

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 13, 2025 World Championship

Wales vs Belgium

Possession: 48% - 58% Cards: 2 - 1

2:4

Jun 9, 2025 World Championship

Belgium vs Wales

Possession: 58% - 50% Cards: 2 - 0

4:3

Sep 22, 2022 UEFA Nations League

Belgium vs Wales

Possession: 47% - 45% Cards: 2 - 2

2:1

Jun 11, 2022 UEFA Nations League

Wales vs Belgium

Possession: 59% - 53% Cards: 3 - 2

1:1

Nov 16, 2021 World Championship

Wales vs Belgium

Possession: 54% - 43% Cards: 4 - 1

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Belgium Compare

Top Goalscorer Tielemans Y.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Doku J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.41

Avg xA / game 1.56

Wales Compare

Top Goalscorer Thomas S.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Johnson B.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.82

Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belgium 39 / 100

Wales 26 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Belgium Wales

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BEL Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Belgium scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Wales let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Belgium went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Belgium VS Wales

3.13 Goals Scored 2

0.75 Goals Conceded 1.57

88% Over 1.5 86%

50% Over 2.5 57%

50% Over 3.5 29%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Germany	6	5	1	16:3	15
2	Slovakia	6	4	2	6:8	12
3	Northern Ireland	6	3	3	7:6	9
4	Luxembourg	6	0	6	1:13	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Switzerland	6	4	2	0	14:2	14
2	Kosovo	6	3	2	1	6:5	11
3	Slovenia	6	0	4	2	3:8	4
4	Sweden	6	0	2	4	4:12	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Scotland	6	4	1	1	13:7	13
2	Denmark	6	3	2	1	16:7	11
3	Greece	6	2	1	3	10:12	7
4	Belarus	6	0	2	4	4:17	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	France	6	5	1	0	16:4	16
2	Ukraine	6	3	1	2	10:11	10
3	Iceland	6	2	1	3	13:11	7
4	Azerbaijan	6	0	1	5	3:16	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Spain	6	5	1	0	21:2	16
2	Turkey	6	4	1	1	17:12	13
3	Georgia	6	1	0	5	7:15	3
4	Bulgaria	6	1	0	5	3:19	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Portugal	6	4	1	1	20:7	13
2	Ireland	6	3	1	2	9:7	10
3	Hungary	6	2	2	2	11:10	8
4	Armenia	6	1	0	5	3:19	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Netherlands	8	6	2	0	27:4	20
2	Poland	8	5	2	1	14:7	17
3	Finland	8	3	1	4	8:14	10
4	Malta	8	1	2	5	4:19	5
5	Lithuania	8	0	3	5	6:15	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Austria	8	6	1	1	22:4	19
2	Bosnia & Herzegovina	8	5	2	1	17:7	17
3	Romania	8	4	1	3	19:10	13
4	Cyprus	8	2	2	4	11:11	8
5	San Marino	8	0	0	8	2:39	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Norway	8	8	0	0	37:5	24
2	Italy	8	6	0	2	21:12	18
3	Israel	8	4	0	4	19:20	12
4	Estonia	8	1	1	6	8:21	4
5	Moldova	8	0	1	7	5:32	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Belgium	8	5	3	0	29:7	18
2	Wales	8	5	1	2	21:11	16
3	North Macedonia	8	3	4	1	13:10	13
4	Kazakhstan	8	2	2	4	9:13	8
5	Liechtenstein	8	0	0	8	0:31	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	England	8	8	0	0	22:0	24
2	Albania	8	4	2	2	7:5	14
3	Serbia	8	4	1	3	9:10	13
4	Latvia	8	1	2	5	5:15	5
5	Andorra	8	0	1	7	3:16	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Croatia	8	7	1	0	26:4	22
2	Czech Republic	8	5	1	2	18:8	16
3	Faroe Islands	8	4	0	4	11:9	12
4	Montenegro	8	3	0	5	8:17	9
5	Gibraltar	8	0	0	8	3:28	0