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Belgium W vs England W

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League Women Den Dreef, Heverlee
Belgium W Logo

Belgium W

3 - 2
FT
England W Logo

England W

Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Wullaert T.
16' Event
Vanhaevermaet J.
Assist: Wullaert T.
29' Event
Wullaert T.
Assist: Philtjens D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The UEFA Nations League Women game between Belgium W and England W finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Belgium W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Belgium W
20%
Draws
42%
England W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: England W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and England W come out ahead of Belgium W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Belgium W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Nations League Women fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Belgium W Clean Sheet 10%
England W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Belgium W England W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 21
Draws 5 3
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.93 2.6
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Belgium W vs England W
3:2
Apr 4, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
England W vs Belgium W
5:0
Oct 31, 2023 UEFA Nations League Women
Belgium W vs England W
3:2
Oct 27, 2023 UEFA Nations League Women
England W vs Belgium W
1:0
Feb 22, 2023 Arnold Clark Cup Women
England W vs Belgium W
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Belgium W Compare

Top Goalscorer Wullaert T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Vanhaevermaet J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

England W Compare

Top Goalscorer Agyemang M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belgium W 83 / 100
England W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Belgium W England W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Belgium W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Belgium W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Belgium W's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

England W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Belgium W VS England W
2 Goals Scored 3
1 Goals Conceded 0.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Belgium W

(Home)
09 Jun
Luxembourg W
0 : 7
Belgium W
05 Jun
Belgium W
6 : 0
Luxembourg W
18 Apr
Belgium W
0 : 0
Scotland W
14 Apr
Scotland W
1 : 1
Belgium W
07 Mar
Belgium W
5 : 0
Israel W
Page 1 of 6

England W

(Away)
09 Jun
England W
3 : 0
Ukraine W
05 Jun
Spain W
4 : 0
England W
18 Apr
Iceland W
0 : 1
England W
14 Apr
England W
1 : 0
Spain W
07 Mar
England W
2 : 0
Iceland W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany W 6 5 1 0 26:4 16
2 Netherlands W 6 3 2 1 11:10 11
3 Austria W 6 2 0 4 5:16 6
4 Scotland W 6 0 1 5 3:15 1
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France W 6 6 0 0 14:2 18
2 Norway W 6 2 2 2 4:5 8
3 Iceland W 6 0 4 2 6:9 4
4 Switzerland W 6 0 2 4 4:12 2
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain W 6 5 0 1 21:8 15
2 England W 6 3 1 2 16:6 10
3 Belgium W 6 2 0 4 9:16 6
4 Portugal W 6 1 1 4 5:21 4
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sweden W 6 3 3 0 13:6 12
2 Italy W 6 3 1 2 11:7 10
3 Denmark W 6 3 0 3 8:13 9
4 Wales W 6 0 2 4 4:10 2
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)