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Belgium W vs Ireland W

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League Women Den Dreef
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Teulings J.
25'
Stapleton J.
33' Event
Wullaert T.

AI Match Summary

Belgium W host Ireland W in the UEFA Nations League Women. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Belgium W have averaged 1.75 scored and 1.88 conceded recently, against Ireland W's 2.13 scored and 1.75 conceded. Head-to-head, Belgium W have won 3 to Ireland W's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Oct 28, 2025, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.75 - 2.00) back Belgium W to edge this. Belgium W in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Belgium W
6%
Draws
4%
Ireland W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Belgium W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Ireland W demonstrates higher offensive output (2.13 avg goals) than Belgium W (1.75 avg goals).
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Belgium W.
  • Cup tournament structure in UEFA Nations League Women increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Belgium W Clean Sheet 10%
Ireland W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Belgium W Ireland W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 14
Draws 5 2
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.75 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Belgium W vs Ireland W
2:1
Oct 24, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Ireland W vs Belgium W
4:2
Apr 11, 2021 Friendly International Women
Belgium W vs Ireland W
1:0
Jan 20, 2019 Friendly International Women
Belgium W vs Ireland W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Belgium W Compare

Top Goalscorer Wullaert T.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Ireland W Compare

Top Goalscorer Larkin A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belgium W 83 / 100
Ireland W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Belgium W Ireland W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BEL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Belgium W scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Ireland W let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Belgium W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Ireland W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Belgium W VS Ireland W
1.75 Goals Scored 2.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Northern Ireland W0
Iceland W5
Finland W1
Denmark W8
Ireland W5
Belgium W4
Czech Republic W1
Austria W2