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Belgium W vs Poland W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

World Cup Women Den Dreef, Heverlee
Fri, Oct 9, 2026
VS
06:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 4-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Poland W have shipped 1.45 goals a game lately, while Belgium W have conceded 1.52 and scored 2.13. Head-to-head, Belgium W have won 4 to Poland W's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Nov 30, 2021, ending 4:0. Model xG sits at 2.13 vs 1.13, favoring Belgium W. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Belgium W
20%
Draws
0%
Poland W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Belgium W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Belgium W lately — more wins on the board than Poland W.
  • Win probability leans Belgium W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Belgium W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Belgium W, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Belgium W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Belgium W Clean Sheet 20%
Poland W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Belgium W Poland W
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 16 15
Draws 5 3
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 2.13 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 30, 2021 World Cup Women
Belgium W vs Poland W
4:0
Sep 17, 2021 World Cup Women
Poland W vs Belgium W
1:1
Sep 16, 2015 Friendly International Women
Belgium W vs Poland W
5:0
Nov 22, 2014 Friendly International Women
Poland W vs Belgium W
1:4
Feb 8, 2014 Friendly International Women
Belgium W vs Poland W
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belgium W 85 / 100
Poland W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Belgium W Poland W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Belgium W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Belgium W has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Poland W lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Belgium W scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Scoring Trends

Belgium W VS Poland W
2.5 Goals Scored 1.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Belgium W

(Home)
09 Jun
Luxembourg W
0 : 7
Belgium W
05 Jun
Belgium W
6 : 0
Luxembourg W
18 Apr
Belgium W
0 : 0
Scotland W
14 Apr
Scotland W
1 : 1
Belgium W
07 Mar
Belgium W
5 : 0
Israel W
Page 1 of 7

Poland W

(Away)
09 Jun
Netherlands W
3 : 1
Poland W
05 Jun
Poland W
0 : 2
France W
18 Apr
Ireland W
1 : 0
Poland W
14 Apr
Poland W
2 : 3
Ireland W
07 Mar
France W
4 : 1
Poland W
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Slovakia W -
Ukraine W -
Greece W -
England W -
Finland W -
Serbia W -
Belarus W -
Italy W -
Northern Ireland W -
Portugal W -
Croatia W -
Iceland W -
Albania W -
Wales W -
Romania W -
Norway W -
Israel W -
Switzerland W -
Kosovo W -
Austria W -
Czech Republic W -
Scotland W -
Lithuania W -
Sweden W -
Belgium W -
Poland W -
Kazakhstan W -
Ireland W -
Turkey W -
Slovenia W -
Hungary W -
Netherlands W -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -