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Belgrano Zarate vs Defensores de Glew

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Promocional Amateur 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Perez I.
60' Event
Artaza A.
76'
Esteban R.

AI Match Summary

Defensores de Glew in this Torneo Promocional Amateur 2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Defensores de Glew.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Belgrano Zarate
28%
Draws
50%
Defensores de Glew
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Defensores de Glew

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Defensores de Glew have won more games recently than Belgrano Zarate.
  • Defensores de Glew are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Torneo Promocional Amateur 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Defensores de Glew have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Belgrano Zarate Clean Sheet 18%
Defensores de Glew Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Belgrano Zarate Defensores de Glew
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 6 11
Draws 14 9
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 0.5 2.13
Goals Conceded 0.5 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2025 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Belgrano Zarate vs Defensores de Glew
0:4
Aug 23, 2025 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Defensores de Glew vs Belgrano Zarate
3:3
Oct 5, 2024 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Belgrano Zarate vs Defensores de Glew
0:3
May 12, 2024 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Defensores de Glew vs Belgrano Zarate
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Belgrano Zarate Compare

Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Defensores de Glew Compare

Top Goalscorer Perez I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Artaza A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belgrano Zarate 23 / 100
Defensores de Glew 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Belgrano Zarate Defensores de Glew

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DEF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.75 goals.

Defensores de Glew has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: Belgrano Zarate remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Belgrano Zarate's goal record stands at 48% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Belgrano Zarate VS Defensores de Glew
0.5 Goals Scored 2.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
25% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Belgrano Zarate

(Home)
17 Jul
Belgrano Zarate
2 : 1
Alumni Los Hornos
12 Jul
Belgrano Zarate
1 : 1
Las Mandarinas
05 Jul
Everton La Plata
0 : 1
Belgrano Zarate
28 Jun
Belgrano Zarate
0 : 0
Ezeiza
21 Jun
Barrancas
1 : 0
Belgrano Zarate
Page 1 of 6

Defensores de Glew

(Away)
10 Jul
Nautico Hacoaj
0 : 0
Defensores de Glew
06 Jul
Defensores de Glew
5 : 0
Atletico Pilar
27 Jun
Defensores de Glew
4 : 2
Provincial
23 Jun
Estrella de Berisso
1 : 1
Defensores de Glew
12 Jun
Defensores de Glew
1 : 2
Deportivo Metalurgico
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Estrella Del Sur13103020:733
2Deportivo Camioneros1375124:1126
3Nautico Hacoaj1364317:1122
4Social Atletico Television1364315:922
5Ezeiza1362513:1120
6Provincial1354420:1519
7Estrella de Berisso1346313:1118
8Deportivo Metalurgico1345416:1417
9Everton La Plata1344512:1916
10Defensores de Glew1336417:1615
11Barrancas133467:1313
12Atletico Pilar1322915:268
13Belgrano Zarate131577:208
14Juventud de Bernal131489:227
Promotion - Primera C 2025 (Main)