Sport Picks
Bella Vista vs Juventud
Uruguay
Copa Uruguay 2025 Estadio José Nasazzi, Montevideo 
Match Events
53'
53'
Mas E.
54'
54'
Diaz A.
AI Match Summary
Bella Vista in this Copa Uruguay 2025 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Juventud
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Juventud lately — more wins on the board than Bella Vista.
- Model gives Juventud a 47% chance of winning this.
- Juventud arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Juventud, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Bella Vista Clean Sheet 15%
Juventud Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bella Vista | Juventud |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 39 |
| Wins | 7 | 13 |
| Draws | 4 | 11 |
| Losses | 19 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 0.63 | 1.23 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.18 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 1.55 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 27, 2025 Copa Uruguay
Bella Vista vs Juventud
1:0
Dec 3, 2023 Segunda Division
Juventud vs Bella Vista
3:0
Jul 29, 2023 Segunda Division
Bella Vista vs Juventud
1:2
Mar 26, 2023 Segunda Division
Bella Vista vs Juventud
0:2
Mar 30, 2013 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Bella Vista vs Juventud
5:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bella Vista Compare
Top Goalscorer Diaz A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58
Juventud Compare
Avg xG / game 1.41
Avg xA / game 0.86
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bella Vista 11 / 100
Juventud 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bella Vista Juventud
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Juventud Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
Juventud's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 39 matches.
Bella Vista's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Solid form: Bella Vista remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS Juventud
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Bella Vista
(Home) 09 Sept
Bella Vista
1 : 2 Central Esp.
27 Aug
Bella Vista
1 : 0 Juventud
03 Dec
Juventud
3 : 0 Bella Vista
29 Nov
Bella Vista
1 : 1 Atenas
26 Nov
Rampla Juniors
2 : 0 Bella Vista
Page 1 of 6
09 Sept
Bella Vista
1 : 2 Central Esp.
27 Aug
Bella Vista
1 : 0 Juventud
29 Nov
Bella Vista
1 : 1 Atenas
19 Nov
Bella Vista
0 : 3 Club Oriental De Futbol
13 Nov
Bella Vista
1 : 1 Potencia
Page 1 of 3
Juventud
(Away) 22 Aug
Central Esp.
0 : 1 Juventud
15 Aug
Juventud
0 : 1 Montevideo City
07 Aug
Cerro Largo
1 : 1 Juventud
01 Aug
Maldonado
0 : 0 Juventud
17 Jul
Albion
0 : 1 Juventud
Page 1 of 8
22 Aug
Central Esp.
0 : 1 Juventud
07 Aug
Cerro Largo
1 : 1 Juventud
01 Aug
Maldonado
0 : 0 Juventud
17 Jul
Albion
0 : 1 Juventud
05 Jul
Danubio
1 : 1 Juventud
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Atletico Arsenal 0
Club Oriental De Futbol 1
Libertad San Carlos 0
Defensor Sp. 3
Bella Vista 1
Juventud 0
Nacional Nueva Helvecia 1
Central Esp. 3
Rincon 1
Cerro Largo 2
San Carlos 1
Tacuarembo 2
Rio Negro SJ 0
Penarol 3
Durazno 1
Liverpool M. 3
Paso de la Arena 0
Boston River 3
Atenas Tala 0
Racing Montevideo 1
CA Florida 3
Atenas 1
Universitario Salto 2
Wanderers 0
Wanderers Durazno 2
Plaza Colonia 3
Huracan FC 1
Club Nacional 2
Porongos 3
Maldonado 2
Paysandu FC 0
Albion 2
1/8-finals
Club Oriental De Futbol 0
Defensor Sp. 2
Bella Vista 1
Central Esp. 2
Cerro Largo 0
Tacuarembo 1
Penarol 2
Liverpool M. 1
Boston River 0
Racing Montevideo 1
CA Florida 0
Universitario Salto 7
Plaza Colonia 2
Club Nacional 1
Porongos 0
Albion 4
Quarter-finals
Defensor Sp. 2
Central Esp. 0
Tacuarembo 1
Penarol 2
Racing Montevideo 4
Universitario Salto 1
Plaza Colonia 1
Albion 0
Semi-finals
Defensor Sp. 0
Penarol 2
Racing Montevideo 1
Plaza Colonia 2
Final
Penarol 2
Plaza Colonia 0
