Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bella Vista vs Villa Espanola

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division 2022 Estadio José Nasazzi
Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
Tarragona R.

AI Match Summary

Villa Espanola in this Segunda Division 2022 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Villa Espanola.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Bella Vista
39%
Draws
30%
Villa Espanola
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Bella Vista average 0.5 goals a game right now, well clear of Villa Espanola's 0.25.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Segunda Division 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Bella Vista Clean Sheet 29%
Villa Espanola Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bella Vista Villa Espanola
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 8 8
Draws 4 6
Losses 20 15
Goals Scored 0.5 0.25
Goals Conceded 1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 29, 2022 Segunda Division
Villa Espanola vs Bella Vista
0:2
Oct 22, 2022 Segunda Division
Bella Vista vs Villa Espanola
0:1
Oct 5, 2019 Segunda Division
Bella Vista vs Villa Espanola
3:2
Jul 2, 2019 Segunda Division
Villa Espanola vs Bella Vista
1:3
Mar 21, 2009 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Bella Vista vs Villa Espanola
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bella Vista Compare

Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Villa Espanola Compare

Top Goalscorer Tarragona R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.23
Avg xA / game 0.14

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bella Vista 34 / 100
Villa Espanola 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bella Vista Villa Espanola

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Villa Espanola conceded in 85% of 27 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Villa Espanola lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Bella Vista scored in 53% of their last 32 games.

Scoring Trends

Bella Vista VS Villa Espanola
0.5 Goals Scored 0.25
1 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Bella Vista2
Villa Espanola1
Central Esp.2
Potencia3