Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bellaria Igea vs Arzignano

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2015/2016 Stadio Enrico Nanni, Bellaria
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Arzignano in this Serie D - Group D 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Arzignano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Bellaria Igea
15%
Draws
59%
Arzignano
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arzignano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Arzignano have won more games recently than Bellaria Igea.
  • Arzignano are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group D 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Bellaria Igea Clean Sheet 20%
Arzignano Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bellaria Igea Arzignano
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 16
Draws 9 4
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.03 1.35
Goals Conceded 2 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2016 Serie D - Group D
Bellaria Igea vs Arzignano
1:2
Nov 22, 2015 Serie D - Group D
Arzignano vs Bellaria Igea
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bellaria Igea 28 / 100
Arzignano 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bellaria Igea Arzignano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arzignano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bellaria Igea's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Arzignano's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Bellaria Igea stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Arzignano
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 25%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bellaria Igea

(Home)
08 May
Bellaria Igea
3 : 1
Clodiense
01 May
Parma
3 : 0
Bellaria Igea
24 Apr
Bellaria Igea
0 : 0
Mezzolara
17 Apr
Altovicentino
2 : 0
Bellaria Igea
10 Apr
Bellaria Igea
1 : 2
Arzignano
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Arzignano

(Away)
27 Sept
Carpi
0 : 3
Arzignano
20 Sept
Arzignano
2 : 1
Renate
17 Sept
AlbinoLeffe
1 : 2
Arzignano
13 Sept
Arzignano
1 : 2
Desenzano Calvina
06 Sept
Ospitaletto
3 : 1
Arzignano
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Parma 38 28 10 0 82:17 94
2 Altovicentino 38 23 8 7 84:43 77
3 Forli FC 38 19 12 7 69:46 69
4 San Marino Calcio 38 17 14 7 55:41 65
5 Correggese 38 18 10 10 66:49 64
6 Imolese 38 18 9 11 63:41 63
7 Delta Porto Tolle 38 18 7 13 68:51 61
8 Ribelle 38 18 7 13 63:54 61
9 Lentigione 38 17 8 13 53:51 59
10 Sammaurese 38 15 9 14 53:49 54
11 Arzignano 38 15 8 15 60:54 53
12 Legnago Salus 38 12 15 11 55:54 51
13 Ravenna 38 9 17 12 50:59 44
14 Romagna Centro 38 11 11 16 40:51 44
15 Virtus Castelfranco 38 10 12 16 50:59 42
16 Mezzolara 38 7 14 17 30:55 35
17 Villafranca 38 8 9 21 45:63 33
18 Bellaria Igea 38 6 11 21 38:76 29
19 Clodiense 38 7 6 25 35:81 27
20 Fortis Juventus 38 2 7 29 32:97 13
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2015/2016 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2015/2016 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D 2015/2016 (Play Out)