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Bellaria Igea vs Clodiense

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2015/2016 Stadio Enrico Nanni, Bellaria
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group D 2015/2016 game between Bellaria Igea and Clodiense finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bellaria Igea.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Bellaria Igea
30%
Draws
51%
Clodiense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Clodiense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Clodiense come out ahead of Bellaria Igea on wins alone.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Clodiense taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group D 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Bellaria Igea Clean Sheet 19%
Clodiense Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bellaria Igea Clodiense
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 5 17
Draws 9 12
Losses 16 6
Goals Scored 1.03 1.26
Goals Conceded 2 0.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2016 Serie D - Group D
Bellaria Igea vs Clodiense
3:1
Dec 20, 2015 Serie D - Group D
Clodiense vs Bellaria Igea
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bellaria Igea 24 / 100
Clodiense 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bellaria Igea Clodiense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Clodiense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Bellaria Igea found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Clodiense let in goals in 51% of their last 35 matches.

Bellaria Igea went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Clodiense
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bellaria Igea

(Home)
08 May
Bellaria Igea
3 : 1
Clodiense
01 May
Parma
3 : 0
Bellaria Igea
24 Apr
Bellaria Igea
0 : 0
Mezzolara
17 Apr
Altovicentino
2 : 0
Bellaria Igea
10 Apr
Bellaria Igea
1 : 2
Arzignano
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Clodiense

(Away)
12 Sept
Schio
1 : 1
Clodiense
06 Sept
Clodiense
2 : 0
Virtus Bolzano
25 May
Legnago Salus
2 : 2
Clodiense
17 May
Clodiense
1 : 0
Este
03 May
Portogruaro
0 : 2
Clodiense
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Parma 38 28 10 0 82:17 94
2 Altovicentino 38 23 8 7 84:43 77
3 Forli FC 38 19 12 7 69:46 69
4 San Marino Calcio 38 17 14 7 55:41 65
5 Correggese 38 18 10 10 66:49 64
6 Imolese 38 18 9 11 63:41 63
7 Delta Porto Tolle 38 18 7 13 68:51 61
8 Ribelle 38 18 7 13 63:54 61
9 Lentigione 38 17 8 13 53:51 59
10 Sammaurese 38 15 9 14 53:49 54
11 Arzignano 38 15 8 15 60:54 53
12 Legnago Salus 38 12 15 11 55:54 51
13 Ravenna 38 9 17 12 50:59 44
14 Romagna Centro 38 11 11 16 40:51 44
15 Virtus Castelfranco 38 10 12 16 50:59 42
16 Mezzolara 38 7 14 17 30:55 35
17 Villafranca 38 8 9 21 45:63 33
18 Bellaria Igea 38 6 11 21 38:76 29
19 Clodiense 38 7 6 25 35:81 27
20 Fortis Juventus 38 2 7 29 32:97 13
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2015/2016 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2015/2016 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D 2015/2016 (Play Out)