Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bellaria Igea vs Sammaurese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2015/2016 Stadio Enrico Nanni, Bellaria
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group D 2015/2016 game between Bellaria Igea and Sammaurese finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bellaria Igea.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Bellaria Igea
20%
Draws
40%
Sammaurese
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bellaria Igea come out ahead of Sammaurese on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Bellaria Igea Clean Sheet 19%
Sammaurese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bellaria Igea Sammaurese
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 4
Draws 9 8
Losses 16 20
Goals Scored 1.03 0.81
Goals Conceded 2 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2016 Serie D - Group D
Bellaria Igea vs Sammaurese
1:0
Oct 25, 2015 Serie D - Group D
Sammaurese vs Bellaria Igea
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bellaria Igea 31 / 100
Sammaurese 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bellaria Igea Sammaurese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bellaria Igea Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sammaurese's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 32 matches.

Attacking prowess: Bellaria Igea scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Sammaurese's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sammaurese
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bellaria Igea

(Home)
08 May
Bellaria Igea
3 : 1
Clodiense
01 May
Parma
3 : 0
Bellaria Igea
24 Apr
Bellaria Igea
0 : 0
Mezzolara
17 Apr
Altovicentino
2 : 0
Bellaria Igea
10 Apr
Bellaria Igea
1 : 2
Arzignano
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Sammaurese

(Away)
03 May
San Marino Calcio
1 : 0
Sammaurese
26 Apr
Sammaurese
2 : 0
Atletico Ascoli
19 Apr
Ancona
3 : 0
Sammaurese
15 Apr
Termoli
1 : 0
Sammaurese
12 Apr
Sammaurese
0 : 0
Aquila Calcio
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Parma 38 28 10 0 82:17 94
2 Altovicentino 38 23 8 7 84:43 77
3 Forli FC 38 19 12 7 69:46 69
4 San Marino Calcio 38 17 14 7 55:41 65
5 Correggese 38 18 10 10 66:49 64
6 Imolese 38 18 9 11 63:41 63
7 Delta Porto Tolle 38 18 7 13 68:51 61
8 Ribelle 38 18 7 13 63:54 61
9 Lentigione 38 17 8 13 53:51 59
10 Sammaurese 38 15 9 14 53:49 54
11 Arzignano 38 15 8 15 60:54 53
12 Legnago Salus 38 12 15 11 55:54 51
13 Ravenna 38 9 17 12 50:59 44
14 Romagna Centro 38 11 11 16 40:51 44
15 Virtus Castelfranco 38 10 12 16 50:59 42
16 Mezzolara 38 7 14 17 30:55 35
17 Villafranca 38 8 9 21 45:63 33
18 Bellaria Igea 38 6 11 21 38:76 29
19 Clodiense 38 7 6 25 35:81 27
20 Fortis Juventus 38 2 7 29 32:97 13
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2015/2016 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2015/2016 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D 2015/2016 (Play Out)