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Bellinzona vs Chiasso

World World

Club Friendly 2023
Sat, Jan 21, 2023
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bellinzona host Chiasso in the Club Friendly 2023. This has Chiasso written all over it on paper. Recent numbers: Bellinzona at 1.17 goals for, 2.21 against; Chiasso at 1.46 for, 0.92 against. Past meetings favor Chiasso slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 21, 2023, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.48 - 1.56) back Chiasso to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Bellinzona
20%
Draws
70%
Chiasso
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chiasso

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Bellinzona haven't matched Chiasso's recent run of results.
  • Chiasso are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Bellinzona Clean Sheet 15%
Chiasso Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bellinzona Chiasso
Matches Played 29 13
Wins 4 8
Draws 5 1
Losses 20 4
Goals Scored 1.17 1.46
Goals Conceded 2.21 0.92
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 21, 2023 Club Friendly
Bellinzona vs Chiasso
0:0
May 28, 2022 Promotion League
Bellinzona vs Chiasso
2:0
Nov 28, 2021 Promotion League
Bellinzona vs Chiasso
1:1
Aug 18, 2021 Promotion League
Chiasso vs Bellinzona
2:1
Jul 13, 2019 Club Friendly
Chiasso vs Bellinzona
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bellinzona 11 / 100
Chiasso 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bellinzona Chiasso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chiasso Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Bellinzona scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Chiasso's defensive record shows goals conceded in 54% of 13 matches.

Recent resilience: Bellinzona stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bellinzona VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bellinzona

(Home)
05 Sept
Paradiso
4 : 0
Bellinzona
29 Aug
Cham
1 : 1
Bellinzona
22 Aug
Schaffhausen
1 : 0
Bellinzona
18 Aug
Bellinzona
2 : 3
Basel II
14 Aug
Rotkreuz
4 : 1
Bellinzona
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Chiasso

(Away)
02 Aug
Varesina
2 : 2
Chiasso
26 Nov
Chiasso
2 : 0
Bulle
19 Nov
Chiasso
2 : 1
Breitenrain
12 Nov
Etoile-Carouge
3 : 1
Chiasso
05 Nov
Chiasso
0 : 2
Bavois
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