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Bellinzona vs Stade Nyonnais - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Switzerland Switzerland

Challenge League 2025/2026 Stadio Comunale Bellinzona, Bellinzona
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Lopez B.
9' Event
Rey A.
26'
Fetahu E.

AI Match Summary

The Challenge League 2025/2026 game between Bellinzona and Stade Nyonnais finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bellinzona.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Bellinzona
20%
Draws
16%
Stade Nyonnais
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bellinzona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bellinzona come out ahead of Stade Nyonnais on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Bellinzona taking it.
  • Regular Challenge League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Bellinzona Clean Sheet 15%
Stade Nyonnais Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bellinzona Stade Nyonnais
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 4 2
Draws 6 9
Losses 19 17
Goals Scored 1.21 0.89
Goals Conceded 2.34 2.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Challenge League
Bellinzona vs Stade Nyonnais
4:0
Feb 6, 2026 Challenge League
Stade Nyonnais vs Bellinzona
1:1
Dec 6, 2025 Challenge League
Bellinzona vs Stade Nyonnais
2:0
Aug 29, 2025 Challenge League
Stade Nyonnais vs Bellinzona
3:1
Apr 18, 2025 Challenge League
Bellinzona vs Stade Nyonnais
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bellinzona Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rey A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Stade Nyonnais Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bellinzona 41 / 100
Stade Nyonnais 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bellinzona Stade Nyonnais

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stade Nyonnais has conceded goals in 89% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Stade Nyonnais lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Bellinzona's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Bellinzona VS Stade Nyonnais
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Bellinzona

(Home)
04 Oct
Bellinzona
0 : 4
Zurich II
27 Sept
Bellinzona
2 : 2
Breitenrain
19 Sept
Grand-Saconnex
3 : 0
Bellinzona
13 Sept
Bellinzona
2 : 1
FC Kreuzlingen
05 Sept
Paradiso
4 : 0
Bellinzona
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Stade Nyonnais

(Away)
18 Sept
Wil
5 : 0
Stade Nyonnais
11 Sept
Stade Nyonnais
1 : 3
Xamax
06 Sept
Yverdon
4 : 1
Stade Nyonnais
01 Sept
Stade Nyonnais
2 : 2
Winterthur
28 Aug
Kriens
3 : 0
Stade Nyonnais
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vaduz 36 25 6 5 75:41 81
2 Aarau 36 25 5 6 77:47 80
3 Yverdon 36 20 7 9 75:48 67
4 Lausanne Ouchy 36 14 8 14 59:51 50
5 Xamax 36 14 7 15 55:56 49
6 Rapperswil-Jona 36 14 2 20 52:62 44
7 Etoile-Carouge 36 10 10 16 46:54 40
8 Wil 36 10 10 16 39:55 40
9 Stade Nyonnais 36 5 13 18 33:60 28
10 Bellinzona 36 5 8 23 40:77 23
Promotion - Super League (Main)
Promotion - Super League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Promotion League (Main)