Sport Picks
Belmont Swansea United vs Adamstown Rosebud - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Australia
NPL Northern NSW Blacksmiths Oval, Lake Macquarie 
Match Events
16'
16'
Kable J.
19'
19'
Gueli M.
48'
48'
Rooke R.
AI Match Summary
Adamstown Rosebud in this NPL Northern NSW matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Adamstown Rosebud.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
15%
59%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Adamstown Rosebud
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Belmont Swansea United have won more games recently than Adamstown Rosebud.
- Model gives Adamstown Rosebud a 59% chance of winning this.
- Regular NPL Northern NSW form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Belmont Swansea United Clean Sheet 11%
Adamstown Rosebud Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Belmont Swansea United | Adamstown Rosebud |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 9 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 13 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.9 | 1.53 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.06 | 1.87 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 16, 2026 NPL Northern NSW
Belmont Swansea United vs Adamstown Rosebud
2:3
May 9, 2026 NPL Northern NSW
Adamstown Rosebud vs Belmont Swansea United
2:2
Jul 27, 2025 NPL Northern NSW
Adamstown Rosebud vs Belmont Swansea United
0:2
Feb 13, 2025 NPL Northern NSW
Belmont Swansea United vs Adamstown Rosebud
5:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Belmont Swansea United Compare
Top Goalscorer Kable J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Gueli M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Adamstown Rosebud Compare
Top Goalscorer Rooke R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Fajkovic D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Belmont Swansea United 27 / 100
Adamstown Rosebud 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Belmont Swansea United Adamstown Rosebud
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Adamstown Rosebud Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Belmont Swansea United found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (31 games).
Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.
Adamstown Rosebud has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.
Belmont Swansea United went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Belmont Swansea United VS Adamstown Rosebud
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Belmont Swansea United
(Home) 23 Aug
Edgeworth Eagles FC
3 : 2 Belmont Swansea United
16 Aug
Belmont Swansea United
2 : 3 Adamstown Rosebud
08 Aug
Belmont Swansea United
2 : 1 Lambton Jaffas FC
02 Aug
Edgeworth Eagles FC
2 : 0 Belmont Swansea United
26 Jul
Kahibah
3 : 1 Belmont Swansea United
Page 1 of 7
16 Aug
Belmont Swansea United
2 : 3 Adamstown Rosebud
08 Aug
Belmont Swansea United
2 : 1 Lambton Jaffas FC
20 Jun
Belmont Swansea United
1 : 0 Broadmeadow Magic FC
16 May
Belmont Swansea United
1 : 1 Valentine
26 Apr
Belmont Swansea United
6 : 3 Kahibah
Page 1 of 4
Adamstown Rosebud
(Away) 16 Aug
Belmont Swansea United
2 : 3 Adamstown Rosebud
12 Aug
Weston Workers Bears
4 : 2 Adamstown Rosebud
08 Aug
Adamstown Rosebud
2 : 2 Cooks Hill United
01 Aug
Adamstown Rosebud
2 : 1 Valentine
11 Jul
Maitland
3 : 1 Adamstown Rosebud
Page 1 of 6
16 Aug
Belmont Swansea United
2 : 3 Adamstown Rosebud
12 Aug
Weston Workers Bears
4 : 2 Adamstown Rosebud
11 Jul
Maitland
3 : 1 Adamstown Rosebud
27 Jun
Edgeworth Eagles FC
3 : 2 Adamstown Rosebud
24 Jun
Kahibah
1 : 2 Adamstown Rosebud
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Broadmeadow Magic FC | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 59:23 | 49 |
| 2 | Maitland | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 40:32 | 42 |
| 3 | Weston Workers Bears | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 48:33 | 41 |
| 4 | Edgeworth Eagles FC | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 41:31 | 39 |
| 5 | Belmont Swansea United | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 47:44 | 35 |
| 6 | Cooks Hill United | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 43:36 | 33 |
| 7 | Valentine | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 22:39 | 26 |
| 8 | Lambton Jaffas FC | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 38:33 | 25 |
| 9 | Adamstown Rosebud | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 34:45 | 24 |
| 10 | Newcastle Olympic | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 39:40 | 21 |
| 11 | Kahibah | 22 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 35:53 | 20 |
| 12 | Charlestown Azzurri | 22 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 25:62 | 14 |
Promotion - NPL Northern NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL Northern NSW (Relegation)
