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Belmont Swansea United vs Broadmeadow Magic FC

Australia Australia

NPL Northern NSW Blacksmiths Oval, Lake Macquarie
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
McGee A.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Northern NSW game between Belmont Swansea United and Broadmeadow Magic FC finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Belmont Swansea United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Belmont Swansea United
44%
Draws
20%
Broadmeadow Magic FC
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Broadmeadow Magic FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular NPL Northern NSW form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Belmont Swansea United Clean Sheet 10%
Broadmeadow Magic FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Belmont Swansea United Broadmeadow Magic FC
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 18
Draws 7 4
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.88 3
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 NPL Northern NSW
Belmont Swansea United vs Broadmeadow Magic FC
1:0
Mar 21, 2026 NPL Northern NSW
Broadmeadow Magic FC vs Belmont Swansea United
2:2
Jun 20, 2025 NPL Northern NSW
Broadmeadow Magic FC vs Belmont Swansea United
2:0
Mar 22, 2025 NPL Northern NSW
Belmont Swansea United vs Broadmeadow Magic FC
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Belmont Swansea United Compare

Top Goalscorer McGee A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Broadmeadow Magic FC Compare

Avg xG / game 2.73
Avg xA / game 1.67

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belmont Swansea United 34 / 100
Broadmeadow Magic FC 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Belmont Swansea United Broadmeadow Magic FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BRO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Belmont Swansea United scored in 89% of their last 28 games.

Broadmeadow Magic FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Belmont Swansea United remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Belmont Swansea United VS Broadmeadow Magic FC
1.88 Goals Scored 3
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Belmont Swansea United

(Home)
27 Jun
Charlestown Azzurri
1 : 3
Belmont Swansea United
20 Jun
Belmont Swansea United
1 : 0
Broadmeadow Magic FC
13 Jun
Weston Workers Bears
2 : 2
Belmont Swansea United
05 Jun
Cooks Hill United
1 : 3
Belmont Swansea United
30 May
Maitland
2 : 1
Belmont Swansea United
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Broadmeadow Magic FC

(Away)
12 Jul
Broadmeadow Magic FC
2 : 1
Newcastle Olympic
28 Jun
Broadmeadow Magic FC
5 : 1
Weston Workers Bears
20 Jun
Belmont Swansea United
1 : 0
Broadmeadow Magic FC
13 Jun
Adamstown Rosebud
1 : 5
Broadmeadow Magic FC
06 Jun
Valentine
1 : 1
Broadmeadow Magic FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Broadmeadow Magic FC18124249:2240
2Weston Workers Bears19113544:3136
3Maitland18103534:2833
4Belmont Swansea United1795340:3032
5Edgeworth Eagles FC1785434:2929
6Cooks Hill United1875636:3126
7Lambton Jaffas FC1964935:3022
8Valentine1854918:3619
9Newcastle Olympic1846833:3218
10Adamstown Rosebud1845925:3617
11Kahibah18421228:4614
12Charlestown Azzurri18421224:4914
Promotion - NPL Northern NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL Northern NSW (Relegation)