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Belmont Swansea United vs New Lambton

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NPL Northern NSW 2025 Blacksmiths Oval
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AI Match Summary

The NPL Northern NSW 2025 game between Belmont Swansea United and New Lambton finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Belmont Swansea United
20%
Draws
38%
New Lambton
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Belmont Swansea United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • New Lambton haven't matched Belmont Swansea United's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Belmont Swansea United's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular NPL Northern NSW 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Belmont Swansea United Clean Sheet 10%
New Lambton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Belmont Swansea United New Lambton
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 8
Draws 9 6
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 2.38 2.63
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2025 NPL Northern NSW
Belmont Swansea United vs New Lambton
0:0
Apr 25, 2025 NPL Northern NSW
New Lambton vs Belmont Swansea United
2:2
Sep 17, 2022 Northern NSW State League
New Lambton vs Belmont Swansea United
1:2
Jun 18, 2022 Northern NSW State League
Belmont Swansea United vs New Lambton
1:2
Apr 23, 2022 Northern NSW State League
New Lambton vs Belmont Swansea United
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belmont Swansea United 40 / 100
New Lambton 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Belmont Swansea United New Lambton

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Belmont Swansea United scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: New Lambton conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Belmont Swansea United stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Belmont Swansea United VS New Lambton
2.38 Goals Scored 2.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Broadmeadow Magic FC22192150:1859
2Edgeworth Eagles FC22172350:1553
3Weston Workers Bears22162461:2550
4Lambton Jaffas FC2296737:2933
5Maitland2295842:4132
6Newcastle Olympic2287747:3831
7Charlestown Azzurri22661032:3424
8Adamstown Rosebud22721333:4723
9Cooks Hill United22721326:4723
10Belmont Swansea United22481034:4520
11Valentine22441428:6016
12New Lambton22141721:627