Sport Picks

Australia

NPL Northern NSW Blacksmiths Oval

Belmont Swansea United

1 - 1

Valentine

Our Tip

Match Events

29'

Newton R.

49'

White K.

(Penalty)

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this NPL Northern NSW matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%

Belmont Swansea United

11%

Draws

Valentine

Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Belmont Swansea United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence

Valentine haven't matched Belmont Swansea United's recent run of results.
Win probability leans Belmont Swansea United's way, sitting at 80%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%

Belmont Swansea United Clean Sheet 18%

Valentine Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Belmont Swansea United	Valentine
Matches Played	28	29
Wins	11	8
Draws	7	6
Losses	10	15
Goals Scored	2.25	1.13
Goals Conceded	1.5	1.75
Expected Goals (xG)	2.25	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 NPL Northern NSW

Belmont Swansea United vs Valentine

Possession: 57% - 57% Cards: 0 - 4

1:1

Feb 21, 2026 NPL Northern NSW

Valentine vs Belmont Swansea United

Possession: 50% - 55% Cards: 2 - 3

1:2

May 31, 2025 NPL Northern NSW

Belmont Swansea United vs Valentine

Possession: 48% - 55% Cards: 0 - 1

2:1

Mar 1, 2025 NPL Northern NSW

Valentine vs Belmont Swansea United

Possession: 43% - 58% Cards: 1 - 1

2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Belmont Swansea United Compare

Top Goalscorer Newton R.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.73

Avg xA / game 1.13

Valentine Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belmont Swansea United 76 / 100

Valentine 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Belmont Swansea United Valentine

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BEL Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Belmont Swansea United scored in 89% of their last 28 games.

Valentine's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Belmont Swansea United remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Belmont Swansea United VS Valentine

2.25 Goals Scored 1.13

1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75

88% Over 1.5 88%

75% Over 2.5 38%

50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Broadmeadow Magic FC	18	12	4	2	49:22	40
2	Weston Workers Bears	19	11	3	5	44:31	36
3	Maitland	18	10	3	5	34:28	33
4	Belmont Swansea United	17	9	5	3	40:30	32
5	Edgeworth Eagles FC	17	8	5	4	34:29	29
6	Cooks Hill United	18	7	5	6	36:31	26
7	Lambton Jaffas FC	19	6	4	9	35:30	22
8	Valentine	18	5	4	9	18:36	19
9	Newcastle Olympic	18	4	6	8	33:32	18
10	Adamstown Rosebud	18	4	5	9	25:36	17
11	Kahibah	18	4	2	12	28:46	14
12	Charlestown Azzurri	18	4	2	12	24:49	14