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Belo Jardim vs Aguia FC

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 3
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Pernambucano 3 game between Belo Jardim and Aguia FC finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Belo Jardim
17%
Draws
13%
Aguia FC
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Belo Jardim

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Aguia FC haven't matched Belo Jardim's recent run of results.
  • Belo Jardim are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Pernambucano 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Belo Jardim Clean Sheet 20%
Aguia FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Belo Jardim Aguia FC
Matches Played 30 21
Wins 9 6
Draws 6 4
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.38 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2024 Pernambucano 3
Belo Jardim vs Aguia FC
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belo Jardim 67 / 100
Aguia FC 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Belo Jardim Aguia FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BEL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aguia FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 21 matches.

Belo Jardim found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Belo Jardim remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Belo Jardim VS Aguia FC
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Belo Jardim

(Home)
19 Oct
Belo Jardim
4 : 0
Centro Limoeirense
08 Oct
Vera Cruz
1 : 2
Belo Jardim
05 Oct
Belo Jardim
0 : 2
America PE
27 Sept
Ipojuca
1 : 1
Belo Jardim
20 Sept
Centro Limoeirense
2 : 1
Belo Jardim
Page 1 of 6

Aguia FC

(Away)
18 Oct
Caruaru
2 : 1
Aguia FC
11 Oct
Aguia FC
2 : 0
Ypiranga
08 Oct
CA Porto
1 : 0
Aguia FC
04 Oct
Aguia FC
1 : 0
Academica Vitoria
20 Sept
Aguia FC
1 : 2
Caruaru
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1America PE761018:419
2Caruaru742112:714
3Aguia FC733112:812
4Belo Jardim733111:712
5Pesqueira71513:48
6Cha Grande71158:144
71º de Maio71156:164
8Sete de Setembro (PE)70255:152
Promotion - Pernambucano 2 2024 (Main)