Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Belshina vs Naftan

Belarus Belarus

Vysshaya Liga Spartak Stadium, Bobruisk
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Golub N.
Assist: Galimzyanov T.
27' Event
Rusenchik V.
37'
Sub
Zaynivov A. In: Latykhov D.
Out: Zaynivov A.

AI Match Summary

The Vysshaya Liga game between Belshina and Naftan finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Belshina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Belshina
11%
Draws
9%
Naftan
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Belshina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Belshina come out ahead of Naftan on wins alone.
  • Model gives Belshina a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Vysshaya Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Belshina Clean Sheet 68%
Naftan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Belshina Naftan
Matches Played 26 27
Wins 8 4
Draws 3 5
Losses 15 18
Goals Scored 1.25 0.75
Goals Conceded 2 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Belshina vs Naftan
5:1
Sep 30, 2023 Vysshaya Liga
Belshina vs Naftan
0:3
May 14, 2023 Vysshaya Liga
Naftan vs Belshina
0:1
Sep 25, 2021 Pershaya Liga
Belshina vs Naftan
4:0
Aug 4, 2021 Pershaya Liga
Naftan vs Belshina
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Belshina Compare

Top Goalscorer Golub N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Rusenchik V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Naftan Compare

Top Goalscorer Pranovich I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belshina 86 / 100
Naftan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Belshina Naftan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BEL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Naftan has conceded goals in 81% of their last 27 outings.

Belshina scored in 69% of their last 26 games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Belshina has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Belshina VS Naftan
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
2 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Belshina

(Home)
19 Jul
Viktoria Maryina Gorka
1 : 8
Belshina
05 Jul
Belshina
1 : 1
FK Baranovici
28 Jun
Isloch Minsk
4 : 0
Belshina
20 Jun
Belshina
0 : 2
Zhodino
12 Jun
Belshina
1 : 1
BATE
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Naftan

(Away)
19 Jul
Orsha
3 : 2
Naftan
03 Jul
Naftan
2 : 4
Dynamo Brest
27 Jun
ML Vitebsk
2 : 1
Naftan
19 Jun
Naftan
1 : 0
FK Baranovici
12 Jun
Isloch Minsk
3 : 1
Naftan
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Din. Minsk14103126:1233
2ML Vitebsk1494130:1331
3Isloch Minsk1484224:1028
4FC Gomel1575321:1326
5Dynamo Brest1573524:1524
6Zhodino1565423:1323
7FC Minsk1564521:2022
8Arsenal Dzerzhinsk1556418:2121
9Neman1563616:1521
10Vitebsk1555516:1620
11FK Baranovici1544715:2616
12Slavia Mozyr1536614:2215
13Dnepr Mogilev1525812:2211
14Belshina1432913:2611
15BATE141679:179
16Naftan14131010:316
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Pershaya Liga 2027 (Main)