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Belusa vs Nitra - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Slovakia Slovakia

3. Liga - West
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Belusa host Nitra in the 3. Liga - West. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Nitra have shipped 0.79 goals a game lately, while Belusa have conceded 1.14 and scored 1.83. Past meetings favor Belusa slightly — 2-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 25, 2022, ending 3:0. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 2.25) point toward Nitra. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Belusa
35%
Draws
49%
Nitra
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Nitra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Belusa haven't matched Nitra's recent run of results.
  • Nitra are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Belusa Clean Sheet 10%
Nitra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Belusa Nitra
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 24
Draws 8 3
Losses 7 2
Goals Scored 1.83 2.55
Goals Conceded 1.14 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2022 4. liga - West
Belusa vs Nitra
3:0
Sep 15, 2021 4. liga - West
Nitra vs Belusa
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belusa 10 / 100
Nitra 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Belusa Nitra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nitra Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Belusa's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Recent resilience: Belusa stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Nitra conceded in 52% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Belusa VS Nitra
2 Goals Scored 3.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Belusa

(Home)
04 Oct
Belusa
0 : 0
Nove Zamky
27 Sept
Velke Ludince
2 : 2
Belusa
20 Sept
Belusa
0 : 0
Myjava
12 Sept
MSK Puchov
2 : 0
Belusa
06 Sept
Belusa
2 : 2
Dunajska Luzna
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Nitra

(Away)
04 Oct
Trencin B
2 : 4
Nitra
26 Sept
Nitra
4 : 0
Sala
19 Sept
Nove Zamky
1 : 5
Nitra
16 Sept
Nitra
1 : 3
Slovan Bratislava
12 Sept
Nitra
2 : 1
Dun. Streda B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nitra 9 8 1 0 30:7 25
2 MSK Puchov 9 5 3 1 18:5 18
3 Myjava 10 5 3 2 18:11 18
4 Belusa 9 4 4 1 19:11 16
5 Dunajska Luzna 9 4 3 2 11:9 15
6 Gabcikovo 9 4 2 3 15:13 14
7 Trencin B 9 4 1 4 20:18 13
8 Banik Prievidza 9 4 0 5 15:15 12
9 Nove Zamky 9 3 3 3 11:16 12
10 Dun. Streda B 9 3 2 4 19:15 11
11 Raca 9 2 4 3 13:15 10
12 MSK Senec 9 3 0 6 8:17 9
13 Castkovce 10 2 2 6 17:25 8
14 Komarno B 9 2 2 5 10:23 8
15 Sala 9 1 3 5 8:17 6
16 Velke Ludince 9 1 3 5 12:27 6
Promotion - 2. liga 2027/2028 (Main)