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Bembibre vs Arandina - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bembibre host Arandina in the Tercera RFEF - Group 8. Little to choose between these two on current form. Bembibre have averaged 1.13 scored and 1.47 conceded recently, against Arandina's 1.14 scored and 1.28 conceded. Head-to-head, Bembibre have won 1 to Arandina's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 26, 2026, ending 3:3. xG projections (1.56 - 1.56) back Arandina to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Bembibre
30%
Draws
31%
Arandina
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bembibre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Bembibre haven't matched Arandina's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Bembibre a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 8 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Bembibre Clean Sheet 15%
Arandina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bembibre Arandina
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 7 9
Draws 11 10
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.13 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Arandina vs Bembibre
3:3
Dec 20, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Bembibre vs Arandina
1:1
Feb 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Bembibre vs Arandina
1:0
Sep 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Arandina vs Bembibre
2:0
Mar 5, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Bembibre vs Arandina
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bembibre 35 / 100
Arandina 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bembibre Arandina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bembibre found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Arandina has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Bembibre remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bembibre VS Arandina
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bembibre

(Home)
04 Oct
Bembibre
2 : 0
La Virgen
27 Sept
Guijuelo
1 : 2
Bembibre
20 Sept
Bembibre
0 : 2
Mansilles
13 Sept
Bembibre
1 : 1
Mirandes B
05 Sept
Palencia CA
0 : 2
Bembibre
Page 1 of 6

Arandina

(Away)
03 Oct
Turegano
1 : 1
Arandina
26 Sept
Arandina
1 : 0
Calasanz de Soria
20 Sept
Salamanca CF UDS B
3 : 4
Arandina
12 Sept
Arandina
1 : 1
Almazan
05 Sept
Santa Marta Tormes
1 : 0
Arandina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Burgos CF B 5 4 1 0 9:1 13
2 Santa Marta Tormes 5 4 0 1 8:4 12
3 Mansilles 4 3 1 0 6:2 10
4 Bembibre 5 3 1 1 7:4 10
5 Palencia CA 5 3 1 1 6:3 10
6 Leonesa B 5 3 1 1 4:2 10
7 La Virgen 5 3 0 2 7:5 9
8 Arandina 5 2 2 1 7:6 8
9 Almazan 5 1 4 0 8:7 7
10 Palencia CF 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
11 Calasanz de Soria 5 2 1 2 7:9 7
12 Villaralbo 5 1 2 2 9:7 5
13 Salamanca CF UDS B 5 1 1 3 6:11 4
14 Guijuelo 4 1 0 3 4:5 3
15 Turegano 5 0 2 3 3:7 2
16 Unionistas de Salamanca B 5 0 2 3 4:9 2
17 Mirandes B 5 0 1 4 2:7 1
18 Colegios Diocesanos 5 0 1 4 1:10 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 (Play Offs)