Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bembibre vs La Virgen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Contreras O.
63' Event
Perez Munoz P.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 8 game between Bembibre and La Virgen finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bembibre.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Bembibre
15%
Draws
40%
La Virgen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bembibre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • La Virgen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 45% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 8 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Bembibre Clean Sheet 68%
La Virgen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bembibre La Virgen
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 7 12
Draws 11 7
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.09 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Bembibre vs La Virgen
2:0
Aug 29, 2026 Club Friendly
Bembibre vs La Virgen
0:0
Apr 5, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
La Virgen vs Bembibre
3:1
Nov 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Bembibre vs La Virgen
1:2
Apr 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
La Virgen vs Bembibre
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bembibre Compare

Top Goalscorer Contreras O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Perez Munoz P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

La Virgen Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bembibre 41 / 100
La Virgen 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bembibre La Virgen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bembibre Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bembibre found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (32 games).

La Virgen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Bembibre stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bembibre VS La Virgen
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bembibre

(Home)
04 Oct
Bembibre
2 : 0
La Virgen
27 Sept
Guijuelo
1 : 2
Bembibre
20 Sept
Bembibre
0 : 2
Mansilles
13 Sept
Bembibre
1 : 1
Mirandes B
05 Sept
Palencia CA
0 : 2
Bembibre
Page 1 of 7

La Virgen

(Away)
04 Oct
Bembibre
2 : 0
La Virgen
26 Sept
La Virgen
0 : 1
Palencia CA
19 Sept
Turegano
0 : 1
La Virgen
12 Sept
La Virgen
4 : 1
Calasanz de Soria
06 Sept
Salamanca CF UDS B
1 : 2
La Virgen
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Burgos CF B 5 4 1 0 9:1 13
2 Santa Marta Tormes 5 4 0 1 8:4 12
3 Mansilles 4 3 1 0 6:2 10
4 Bembibre 5 3 1 1 7:4 10
5 Palencia CA 5 3 1 1 6:3 10
6 Leonesa B 5 3 1 1 4:2 10
7 La Virgen 5 3 0 2 7:5 9
8 Arandina 5 2 2 1 7:6 8
9 Almazan 5 1 4 0 8:7 7
10 Palencia CF 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
11 Calasanz de Soria 5 2 1 2 7:9 7
12 Villaralbo 5 1 2 2 9:7 5
13 Salamanca CF UDS B 5 1 1 3 6:11 4
14 Guijuelo 4 1 0 3 4:5 3
15 Turegano 5 0 2 3 3:7 2
16 Unionistas de Salamanca B 5 0 2 3 4:9 2
17 Mirandes B 5 0 1 4 2:7 1
18 Colegios Diocesanos 5 0 1 4 1:10 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 (Play Offs)