Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bendel vs Ikorodu City

Nigeria Nigeria

NPFL 2025/2026 Samuel Ogbemudia Stadium, Benin City
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Oweilayefa A.
20'
Sub
Adeoye A. In: Temitope F.
Out: Adeoye A.
24' Event
Wisdom U.

AI Match Summary

The NPFL 2025/2026 game between Bendel and Ikorodu City finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bendel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Bendel
20%
Draws
29%
Ikorodu City
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bendel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bendel come out ahead of Ikorodu City on wins alone.
  • 29% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular NPFL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Bendel Clean Sheet 14%
Ikorodu City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bendel Ikorodu City
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 15 13
Draws 6 5
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.52 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 23, 2026 NPFL
Bendel vs Ikorodu City
2:1
Mar 1, 2026 NPFL
Bendel vs Ikorodu City
4:0
Oct 12, 2025 NPFL
Ikorodu City vs Bendel
1:0
Feb 27, 2025 NPFL
Bendel vs Ikorodu City
2:1
Oct 12, 2024 NPFL
Ikorodu City vs Bendel
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bendel Compare

Top Goalscorer Oweilayefa A.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Wisdom U.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Ikorodu City Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bendel 35 / 100
Ikorodu City 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bendel Ikorodu City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ikorodu City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bendel scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Ikorodu City has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Bendel stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bendel VS Ikorodu City
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bendel

(Home)
23 Sept
Bendel
2 : 1
Ikorodu City
19 Sept
Ranchers Bees
2 : 1
Bendel
13 Sept
Bendel
4 : 2
Kun Khalifa
06 Sept
Nasarawa United
1 : 0
Bendel
30 Aug
Bendel
2 : 1
Warri Wolves
Page 1 of 6

Ikorodu City

(Away)
23 Sept
Bendel
2 : 1
Ikorodu City
19 Sept
Ikorodu City
0 : 0
Barau
13 Sept
Abia Warriors
2 : 2
Ikorodu City
30 Aug
Ikorodu City
3 : 1
Ranchers Bees
11 Jul
El Kanemi Warriors
1 : 0
Ikorodu City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rangers International 38 19 11 8 47:27 68
2 Rivers United 38 19 10 9 44:31 67
3 Shooting 38 18 6 14 41:40 60
4 Ikorodu City 38 16 10 12 43:39 58
5 Bendel 38 14 14 10 44:38 56
6 Nasarawa United 38 16 8 14 37:34 56
7 Abia Warriors 38 16 7 15 31:34 55
8 Barau 38 13 13 12 34:30 52
9 Katsina Utd 38 14 10 14 36:39 52
10 Plateau United 38 15 5 18 39:40 50
11 Enyimba International 38 13 10 15 44:42 49
12 Kun Khalifa 38 13 10 15 42:40 49
13 Warri Wolves 38 13 10 15 36:41 49
14 Niger Tornadoes 38 13 9 16 37:36 48
15 Kano Pillars 38 15 6 17 34:39 48
16 Kwara 38 13 11 14 32:36 47
17 Remo Stars 38 14 5 19 42:47 47
18 El Kanemi Warriors 38 13 8 17 27:46 47
19 Bayelsa United 38 11 10 17 37:42 43
20 Wikki Tourists 38 9 13 16 36:48 40
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)