Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Benevento vs Arezzo

Italy Italy

Super Cup (Serie C) Stadio Ciro Vigorito, Benevento
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Salvemini F.
(Penalty)
35'
Romano R.
50'
Maita M.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Benevento
30%
Draws
19%
Arezzo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Benevento

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Benevento have won more games recently than Arezzo.
  • Benevento are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Benevento have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Benevento, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Benevento Clean Sheet 68%
Arezzo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Benevento Arezzo
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 21 14
Draws 6 8
Losses 2 6
Goals Scored 2.17 1.61
Goals Conceded 0.83 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Super Cup (Serie C)
Benevento vs Arezzo
1:0
Jan 31, 2010 Lega Pro C1/A
Benevento vs Arezzo
0:1
Sep 20, 2009 Lega Pro C1/A
Arezzo vs Benevento
1:0
Apr 26, 2009 Lega Pro C1/B
Benevento vs Arezzo
2:1
Nov 30, 2008 Lega Pro C1/B
Arezzo vs Benevento
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Benevento 95 / 100
Arezzo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Benevento Arezzo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BEN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Benevento's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Solid form: Benevento remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Defensive concern: Arezzo conceded in 57% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Benevento VS Arezzo
1.75 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Benevento

(Home)
09 Aug
Benevento
5 : 3
Ravenna
01 Aug
Frosinone
2 : 2
Benevento
31 Jul
Vis Pesaro
1 : 2
Benevento
26 Jul
Ostiamare
0 : 2
Benevento
16 May
Vicenza
1 : 4
Benevento
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Arezzo

(Away)
09 Aug
Arezzo
2 : 0
Union Brescia
30 Jul
Parma
1 : 1
Arezzo
29 Jul
Arezzo
1 : 3
AlbinoLeffe
26 Jul
Atalanta
3 : 2
Arezzo
25 Jul
Arezzo
1 : 1
Folgore Caratese
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