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Benevento vs Catania

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 Stadio Ciro Vigorito, Benevento
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Lunetta G.
25' Event
Lamesta D.
33'
Della Morte M.

AI Match Summary

Benevento in this Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Benevento.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Benevento
6%
Draws
4%
Catania
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Benevento

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Benevento have won more games recently than Catania.
  • Benevento are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Benevento Clean Sheet 68%
Catania Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Benevento Catania
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 22 13
Draws 6 11
Losses 3 6
Goals Scored 1.5 1
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Benevento vs Catania
2:1
Oct 26, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Catania vs Benevento
1:0
Jan 5, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Benevento vs Catania
3:2
Sep 2, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Catania vs Benevento
1:0
Apr 27, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Catania vs Benevento
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Benevento Compare

Top Goalscorer Lamesta D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mignani G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Catania Compare

Top Goalscorer Lunetta G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Benevento 95 / 100
Catania 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Benevento Catania

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BEN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Benevento scored in 94% of their last 31 outings.

Solid form: Benevento remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Catania has conceded goals in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Benevento VS Catania
1.5 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Benevento

(Home)
26 Jul
Ostiamare
0 : 2
Benevento
16 May
Vicenza
1 : 4
Benevento
09 May
Benevento
1 : 0
Arezzo
26 Apr
Benevento
2 : 2
Audace Cerignola
19 Apr
Giugliano
1 : 1
Benevento
Page 1 of 7

Catania

(Away)
27 May
Catania
2 : 1
Ascoli
24 May
Ascoli
4 : 0
Catania
20 May
Catania
3 : 3
Lecco
17 May
Lecco
0 : 0
Catania
26 Apr
Atalanta U23
1 : 1
Catania
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Benevento38257674:2882
2Catania381913654:2570
3Salernitana38209950:4269
4Cosenza381910958:4067
5Casertana381991055:4466
6Crotone381871359:4061
7Monopoli3815111239:4156
8Casarano381681456:5756
9Audace Cerignola3814121250:5454
10Potenza3812131354:5649
11Atalanta U233811121553:5045
12Altamura3811121532:4945
13Latina3810121635:4442
14Cavese389151436:4242
15Picerno389131643:5540
16Sorrento389121739:5539
17Giugliano389101935:5237
18Foggia38692328:6027
19Siracusa389101948:5726
20Trapani3813101547:5424
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)