Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Benevento vs Cavese

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C Stadio Ciro Vigorito, Benevento
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Orlando F.
64'
Sub
Minaj E. In: Fusco G.
Out: Minaj E.
64'
Sub
Ubani M. In: Loreto C.
Out: Ubani M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group C game between Benevento and Cavese finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cavese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Benevento
11%
Draws
9%
Cavese
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Benevento

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Benevento carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Benevento a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Benevento here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Benevento Clean Sheet 20%
Cavese Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Benevento Cavese
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 22 8
Draws 6 13
Losses 3 8
Goals Scored 1 1
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Benevento vs Cavese
0:1
Dec 7, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Cavese vs Benevento
0:1
Dec 20, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Cavese vs Benevento
1:2
Aug 26, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Benevento vs Cavese
2:1
Apr 17, 2011 Lega Pro C1/B
Cavese vs Benevento
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Benevento Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Cavese Compare

Top Goalscorer Orlando F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Benevento 76 / 100
Cavese 12 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Benevento Cavese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BEN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Benevento's goal record stands at 94% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Solid form: Benevento remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Cavese let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Benevento VS Cavese
1 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Benevento

(Home)
26 Jul
Ostiamare
0 : 2
Benevento
16 May
Vicenza
1 : 4
Benevento
09 May
Benevento
1 : 0
Arezzo
26 Apr
Benevento
2 : 2
Audace Cerignola
19 Apr
Giugliano
1 : 1
Benevento
Page 1 of 7

Cavese

(Away)
26 Apr
Cavese
1 : 1
Cosenza
19 Apr
Siracusa
1 : 1
Cavese
13 Apr
Benevento
0 : 1
Cavese
08 Apr
Atalanta U23
1 : 1
Cavese
04 Apr
Cavese
0 : 1
Casertana
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Benevento38257674:2882
2Catania381913654:2570
3Salernitana38209950:4269
4Cosenza381910958:4067
5Casertana381991055:4466
6Crotone381871359:4061
7Monopoli3815111239:4156
8Casarano381681456:5756
9Audace Cerignola3814121250:5454
10Potenza3812131354:5649
11Atalanta U233811121553:5045
12Altamura3811121532:4945
13Latina3810121635:4442
14Cavese389151436:4242
15Picerno389131643:5540
16Sorrento389121739:5539
17Giugliano389101935:5237
18Foggia38692328:6027
19Siracusa389101948:5726
20Trapani3813101547:5424
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)