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Benevento vs Cavese

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 Stadio Ciro Vigorito, Benevento
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Orlando F.
64'
Sub
Minaj E. In: Fusco G.
Out: Minaj E.
64'
Sub
Ubani M. In: Loreto C.
Out: Ubani M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 game between Benevento and Cavese finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cavese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Benevento
30%
Draws
29%
Cavese
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Benevento

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Benevento carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Benevento here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Benevento Clean Sheet 18%
Cavese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Benevento Cavese
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 18 7
Draws 7 11
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 1.8 0.82
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Benevento vs Cavese
0:1
Dec 7, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Cavese vs Benevento
0:1
Dec 20, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Cavese vs Benevento
1:2
Aug 26, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Benevento vs Cavese
2:1
Apr 17, 2011 Lega Pro C1/B
Cavese vs Benevento
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Benevento Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Cavese Compare

Top Goalscorer Orlando F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Benevento 36 / 100
Cavese 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Benevento Cavese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cavese Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Benevento's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Cavese conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Solid form: Benevento remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Benevento VS Cavese
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Benevento

(Home)
19 Sept
Carrarese
0 : 1
Benevento
11 Sept
Benevento
3 : 1
Verona
05 Sept
Ascoli
1 : 0
Benevento
30 Aug
Benevento
1 : 1
Sudtirol
22 Aug
Benevento
1 : 2
Modena
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Cavese

(Away)
15 Sept
Cavese
2 : 3
Sorrento
12 Sept
Cosenza
0 : 0
Cavese
06 Sept
Salernitana
1 : 1
Cavese
28 Aug
Cavese
3 : 1
Audace Cerignola
21 Aug
Bari
3 : 0
Cavese
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benevento 38 25 7 6 74:28 82
2 Catania 38 19 13 6 54:25 70
3 Salernitana 38 20 9 9 50:42 69
4 Cosenza 38 19 10 9 58:40 67
5 Casertana 38 19 9 10 55:44 66
6 Crotone 38 18 7 13 59:40 61
7 Monopoli 38 15 11 12 39:41 56
8 Casarano 38 16 8 14 56:57 56
9 Audace Cerignola 38 14 12 12 50:54 54
10 Potenza 38 12 13 13 54:56 49
11 Atalanta U23 38 11 12 15 53:50 45
12 Altamura 38 11 12 15 32:49 45
13 Latina 38 10 12 16 35:44 42
14 Cavese 38 9 15 14 36:42 42
15 Picerno 38 9 13 16 43:55 40
16 Sorrento 38 9 12 17 39:55 39
17 Giugliano 38 9 10 19 35:52 37
18 Foggia 38 6 9 23 28:60 27
19 Siracusa 38 9 10 19 48:57 26
20 Trapani 38 13 10 15 47:54 24
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)