Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Benevento vs Picerno

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C Stadio Ciro Vigorito, Benevento
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Sub
Simonetti P. In: Carfora L.
Out: Simonetti P.
46'
Sub
Bianchi S. In: Pugliese S.
Out: Bianchi S.
46'
Carfora L.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group C game between Benevento and Picerno finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Benevento.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Benevento
17%
Draws
13%
Picerno
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Benevento

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Benevento carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Benevento are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Benevento Clean Sheet 20%
Picerno Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Benevento Picerno
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 22 7
Draws 6 10
Losses 3 13
Goals Scored 1 1
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 6, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Benevento vs Picerno
1:0
Sep 24, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Picerno vs Benevento
2:2
Mar 24, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Benevento vs Picerno
0:0
Nov 9, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Picerno vs Benevento
1:0
Feb 18, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Picerno vs Benevento
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Benevento Compare

Top Goalscorer Pierozzi E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Picerno Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Benevento 67 / 100
Picerno 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Benevento Picerno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BEN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Benevento's goal record stands at 94% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Benevento has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Picerno conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Benevento VS Picerno
1 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Benevento

(Home)
26 Jul
Ostiamare
0 : 2
Benevento
16 May
Vicenza
1 : 4
Benevento
09 May
Benevento
1 : 0
Arezzo
26 Apr
Benevento
2 : 2
Audace Cerignola
19 Apr
Giugliano
1 : 1
Benevento
Page 1 of 7

Picerno

(Away)
26 Apr
Picerno
0 : 0
Sorrento
19 Apr
Salernitana
2 : 1
Picerno
13 Apr
Picerno
3 : 1
Cosenza
06 Apr
Catania
1 : 2
Picerno
29 Mar
Picerno
0 : 0
Monopoli
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Benevento38257674:2882
2Catania381913654:2570
3Salernitana38209950:4269
4Cosenza381910958:4067
5Casertana381991055:4466
6Crotone381871359:4061
7Monopoli3815111239:4156
8Casarano381681456:5756
9Audace Cerignola3814121250:5454
10Potenza3812131354:5649
11Atalanta U233811121553:5045
12Altamura3811121532:4945
13Latina3810121635:4442
14Cavese389151436:4242
15Picerno389131643:5540
16Sorrento389121739:5539
17Giugliano389101935:5237
18Foggia38692328:6027
19Siracusa389101948:5726
20Trapani3813101547:5424
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)