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Benevento vs Vicenza - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie B Stadio Ciro Vigorito, Benevento
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Benevento host Vicenza in the Serie B. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Vicenza have shipped 1.38 goals a game lately, while Benevento have conceded 1.07 and scored 1.76. Past meetings favor Benevento slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 16, 2026, ending 1:4. Model xG sits at 1.75 vs 1.69, favoring Benevento. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Benevento
20%
Draws
15%
Vicenza
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Benevento

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Benevento come out ahead of Vicenza on wins alone.
  • Benevento are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Benevento Clean Sheet 13%
Vicenza Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Benevento Vicenza
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 14
Draws 6 6
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.76 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Super Cup (Serie C)
Vicenza vs Benevento
1:4
Apr 10, 2022 Serie B
Benevento vs Vicenza
1:0
Nov 30, 2021 Serie B
Vicenza vs Benevento
2:3
Apr 21, 2017 Serie B
Benevento vs Vicenza
0:0
Nov 26, 2016 Serie B
Vicenza vs Benevento
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Benevento 84 / 100
Vicenza 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Benevento Vicenza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Benevento Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Benevento scored in 93% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Vicenza conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Benevento went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Benevento VS Vicenza
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Benevento

(Home)
10 Oct
Benevento
2 : 0
Cesena
02 Oct
Frosinone
2 : 1
Benevento
19 Sept
Carrarese
0 : 1
Benevento
11 Sept
Benevento
3 : 1
Verona
05 Sept
Ascoli
1 : 0
Benevento
Page 1 of 6

Vicenza

(Away)
10 Oct
Vicenza
0 : 3
Pisa
03 Oct
Koper
2 : 1
Vicenza
20 Sept
Verona
2 : 1
Vicenza
12 Sept
Vicenza
1 : 1
Juve Stabia
06 Sept
Entella
2 : 2
Vicenza
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palermo 6 5 1 0 14:7 16
2 Sudtirol 6 3 3 0 9:3 12
3 Mantova 5 3 2 0 10:5 11
4 Ascoli 6 3 2 1 7:4 11
5 Avellino 6 3 1 2 11:7 10
6 Modena 5 3 1 1 8:4 10
7 Pisa 6 3 1 2 11:8 10
8 Benevento 6 3 1 2 8:5 10
9 Verona 5 2 1 2 10:7 7
10 Padova 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
11 Cesena 6 1 4 1 7:8 7
12 Arezzo 6 2 1 3 6:13 7
13 Empoli 6 2 0 4 6:10 6
14 Entella 6 1 3 2 8:7 6
15 Cremonese 6 1 3 2 5:7 6
16 Vicenza 6 1 2 3 7:13 5
17 Sampdoria 6 1 1 4 6:13 4
18 Catanzaro 5 1 0 4 5:9 3
19 Juve Stabia 6 1 3 2 5:8 2
20 Carrarese 5 0 1 4 2:6 1
Promotion - Serie A 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B (Play Out)