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Benfica B vs Lusitania FC

Portugal Portugal

Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 Benfica Campus, Seixal
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Sub
Platiny In: Tiago Dias
Out: Platiny
29'
Silverio
40'
Figueiredo M.

AI Match Summary

Lusitania FC in this Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lusitania FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Benfica B
22%
Draws
18%
Lusitania FC
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Benfica B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Benfica B lately — more wins on the board than Lusitania FC.
  • Benfica B are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Benfica B Clean Sheet 68%
Lusitania FC Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Benfica B Lusitania FC
Matches Played 28 25
Wins 12 9
Draws 9 5
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 0.75 0.25
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 29, 2026 Liga Portugal 2
Benfica B vs Lusitania FC
1:2
Aug 25, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
Lusitania FC vs Benfica B
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Benfica B Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Lusitania FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Tiago Dias
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pereira M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.23
Avg xA / game 0.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Benfica B 68 / 100
Lusitania FC 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Benfica B Lusitania FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BEN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Benfica B's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Lusitania FC has conceded goals in 76% of their last 25 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Benfica B has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Benfica B VS Lusitania FC
0.75 Goals Scored 0.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Benfica B

(Home)
22 Jul
Benfica B
2 : 1
Al Nassr
18 Jul
Benfica B
1 : 1
Torreense
15 Jul
Benfica B
1 : 1
Lusitano GC
11 Jul
Benfica B
0 : 0
Sintrense
15 May
FC Porto B
2 : 0
Benfica B
Page 1 of 6

Lusitania FC

(Away)
18 Jul
Lusitania FC
0 : 2
Braga B
15 Jul
Famalicao
1 : 0
Lusitania FC
17 May
Leixoes
2 : 1
Lusitania FC
09 May
Lusitania FC
1 : 2
Torreense
02 May
Oliveirense
0 : 0
Lusitania FC
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Maritimo34206850:2966
2Academico Viseu34178958:3359
3Torreense341851146:3359
4Vizela341491139:4051
5FC Porto B341561341:4251
6Leiria3413111052:4650
7Leixoes341551446:5550
8Feirense3412101237:4046
9Chaves341361542:4045
10Benfica B3411111243:4444
11FC Felgueiras3411111234:3844
12Lusitania FC3411101344:5243
13Sporting CP B341331841:3442
14Penafiel341181537:3941
15Portimonense341171639:4940
16SC Farense3410101431:3740
17Pacos Ferreira349121334:4839
18Oliveirense348101634:4934
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Liga Portugal (Main)
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Main)