Sport Picks

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Benfica B vs Vilafranquense

Portugal Portugal

Liga Portugal 2 2022/2023 Benfica Campus, Seixal
Our Tip

Match Events

44'
Sangare B.
51'
Santos P.
55'
Sub
Sangare B. In: Mercado J.
Out: Sangare B.

AI Match Summary

Vilafranquense in this Liga Portugal 2 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vilafranquense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Benfica B
30%
Draws
29%
Vilafranquense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Benfica B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Vilafranquense haven't matched Benfica B's recent run of results.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Benfica B taking it.
  • Regular Liga Portugal 2 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Benfica B Clean Sheet 19%
Vilafranquense Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Benfica B Vilafranquense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 7
Draws 8 12
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.13 1.03
Goals Conceded 1 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 4, 2023 Liga Portugal 2
Benfica B vs Vilafranquense
0:2
Sep 10, 2022 Liga Portugal 2
Vilafranquense vs Benfica B
3:2
May 1, 2022 Liga Portugal 2
Vilafranquense vs Benfica B
1:2
Dec 20, 2021 Liga Portugal 2
Benfica B vs Vilafranquense
0:0
Jan 31, 2021 Liga Portugal 2
Vilafranquense vs Benfica B
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Benfica B Compare

Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Vilafranquense Compare

Top Goalscorer Belkheir M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Benfica B 58 / 100
Vilafranquense 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Benfica B Vilafranquense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Benfica B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Benfica B scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Vilafranquense conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Benfica B stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Benfica B VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Benfica B

(Home)
11 Sept
Academica
0 : 3
Benfica B
05 Sept
Benfica B
0 : 2
Torreense
30 Aug
Amarante FC
1 : 0
Benfica B
21 Aug
Benfica B
1 : 1
Portimonense
15 Aug
Leiria
1 : 2
Benfica B
Page 1 of 6

Vilafranquense

(Away)
28 May
Vilafranquense
1 : 1
BSAD
19 May
Leixoes
2 : 0
Vilafranquense
14 May
Vilafranquense
0 : 0
Covilha
06 May
Mafra
2 : 1
Vilafranquense
29 Apr
Vilafranquense
2 : 0
Torreense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Moreirense 34 24 7 3 77:38 79
2 SC Farense 34 21 6 7 57:34 69
3 Estrela da Amadora 34 16 15 3 55:35 63
4 Academico Viseu 34 14 11 9 51:45 53
5 FC Porto B 34 14 9 11 48:40 51
6 Mafra 34 12 11 11 46:49 47
7 Vilafranquense 34 12 10 12 42:36 46
8 Feirense 34 11 13 10 43:37 46
9 Torreense 34 13 5 16 38:41 44
10 Oliveirense 34 11 10 13 51:50 43
11 Tondela 34 8 16 10 35:35 40
12 Penafiel 34 9 12 13 36:47 39
13 Nacional 34 10 9 15 35:46 39
14 Benfica B 34 10 8 16 52:58 38
15 Leixoes 34 10 9 15 38:49 38
16 BSAD 34 9 8 17 41:59 35
17 Trofense 34 8 8 18 31:51 32
18 Covilha 34 7 7 20 31:57 28
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2023/2024 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2 2022/2023 (Promotion)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 2023/2024 (Main)