Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Benfica U23 vs SC Farense U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Liga Next Gen U23
Sun, Nov 8, 2026
VS
05:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Benfica U23 host SC Farense U23 in the Liga Next Gen U23. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Benfica U23 at 1.53 goals for, 1.63 against; SC Farense U23 at 1.38 for, 1.14 against. Past meetings favor Benfica U23 slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 13, 2025, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 1.50, favoring SC Farense U23. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Benfica U23
30%
Draws
12%
SC Farense U23
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Benfica U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and SC Farense U23 come out ahead of Benfica U23 on wins alone.
  • Benfica U23 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Benfica U23 Clean Sheet 16%
SC Farense U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Benfica U23 SC Farense U23
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 14
Draws 3 7
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.53 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 13, 2025 Liga Next Gen U23
SC Farense U23 vs Benfica U23
2:1
Aug 31, 2025 Liga Next Gen U23
Benfica U23 vs SC Farense U23
2:1
Dec 3, 2024 Liga Next Gen U23
SC Farense U23 vs Benfica U23
1:5
Sep 14, 2024 Liga Next Gen U23
Benfica U23 vs SC Farense U23
0:1
Dec 5, 2023 Liga Next Gen U23
SC Farense U23 vs Benfica U23
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Benfica U23 84 / 100
SC Farense U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Benfica U23 SC Farense U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Benfica U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Benfica U23 scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

SC Farense U23 has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Benfica U23 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Benfica U23 VS SC Farense U23
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Benfica U23

(Home)
19 Oct
Benfica U23
1 : 1
Moreirense U23
13 Oct
Penafiel U23
3 : 1
Benfica U23
25 Sept
Maritimo U23
1 : 3
Benfica U23
19 Sept
Benfica U23
3 : 0
Torreense U23
14 Sept
Leiria U23
1 : 2
Benfica U23
Page 1 of 6

SC Farense U23

(Away)
20 Oct
Estrela da Amadora U23
1 : 1
SC Farense U23
13 Oct
SC Farense U23
1 : 2
Leiria U23
21 Sept
Vizela U23
2 : 0
SC Farense U23
15 Sept
SC Farense U23
1 : 1
Leixoes U23
09 Sept
Santa Clara U23
1 : 0
SC Farense U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting CP U23 9 5 3 1 17:10 18
2 Academico Viseu U23 9 5 3 1 16:11 18
3 Estoril U23 9 4 5 0 19:14 17
4 Rio Ave U23 9 4 4 1 14:7 16
5 FC Felgueiras U23 9 4 3 2 16:11 15
6 Famalicao U23 9 4 2 3 16:16 14
7 Vizela U23 8 4 1 3 10:9 13
8 Moreirense U23 9 2 6 1 18:10 12
9 SC Farense U23 9 3 3 3 13:14 12
10 Braga U23 9 2 5 2 13:13 11
11 Benfica U23 9 3 2 4 12:13 11
12 Leiria U23 9 3 2 4 9:11 11
13 Leixoes U23 9 2 4 3 17:15 10
14 Santa Clara U23 7 2 4 1 6:11 10
15 Penafiel U23 9 1 6 2 12:12 9
16 Torreense U23 8 2 3 3 12:15 9
17 Gil Vicente U23 9 2 2 5 10:14 8
18 Maritimo U23 9 1 3 5 8:14 6
19 Estrela da Amadora U23 9 1 3 5 8:16 6
20 Portimonense U23 9 0 4 5 5:15 4
Promotion - Liga Next Gen U23 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Liga Next Gen U23 (Losers stage)