Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Benfica host Alverca in the Liga Portugal. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Benfica at 2.77 goals for, 0.94 against; Alverca at 1.19 for, 1.19 against. Past meetings favor Benfica slightly — 5-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 8, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.75 - 1.00) back Benfica to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Benfica carry the better recent record into this one.
- 49% — that's where the model lands on Benfica taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Benfica here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Benfica | Alverca |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 27 |
| Wins | 23 | 10 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 3 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 2.77 | 1.19 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.94 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Benfica's goal record stands at 100% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Alverca has conceded goals in 81% of their last 27 outings.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Recent resilience: Benfica stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Benfica
(Home)Alverca
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 21:4 | 27 |
| 2 | Benfica | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 24:7 | 19 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20:9 | 18 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 12:4 | 18 |
| 5 | Arouca | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 12:7 | 17 |
| 6 | Academico Viseu | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:10 | 14 |
| 7 | Gil Vicente | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 8:7 | 14 |
| 8 | Alverca | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:13 | 11 |
| 9 | Braga | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | 11 |
| 10 | Estrela da Amadora | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 14:17 | 10 |
| 11 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10:10 | 8 |
| 12 | Moreirense | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:15 | 8 |
| 13 | Maritimo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:19 | 8 |
| 14 | Famalicao | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10:11 | 7 |
| 15 | Rio Ave | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8:17 | 7 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5:17 | 7 |
| 17 | Nacional | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9:18 | 4 |
| 18 | Estoril | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4:12 | 2 |
