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Benfica vs Casa de Portugal

Macao Macao

Elite League 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Benfica play Casa de Portugal in the Elite League 2022. Benfica are favorites here. Recently, Benfica averaged 2.38 goals scored and 2.13 conceded. Casa de Portugal averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded. In past meetings, Benfica won 5, Casa de Portugal won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 23, 2022 ended 0:9. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.79 for Benfica and 1.56 for Casa de Portugal. This points to a Benfica double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Benfica
6%
Draws
4%
Casa de Portugal
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Benfica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Benfica has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Casa de Portugal.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Benfica.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Elite League 2022 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Benfica Clean Sheet 15%
Casa de Portugal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Benfica Casa de Portugal
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 16 3
Draws 4 3
Losses 13 24
Goals Scored 2.38 0
Goals Conceded 2.13 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2022 Elite League
Casa de Portugal vs Benfica
0:9
Jan 15, 2022 Elite League
Benfica vs Casa de Portugal
6:0
Jul 25, 2021 Elite League
Casa de Portugal vs Benfica
0:12
May 9, 2021 Elite League
Benfica vs Casa de Portugal
6:2
Dec 11, 2020 Elite League
Benfica vs Casa de Portugal
23:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Benfica Compare

Top Goalscorer da Silva Pedro J. R.
4 Goals
Assists Leader Ng W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Casa de Portugal Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Benfica 84 / 100
Casa de Portugal 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Benfica Casa de Portugal

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BEN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Benfica scored in 73% of their last 33 games.

Casa de Portugal let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 11.80 goals.

Benfica went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Casa de Portugal lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Benfica VS -
2.38 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Must IPO16160095:448
2Monte Carlo16130383:1539
3Benfica16112354:1335
4Cheng Fung1681740:2525
5Tak Chun Ka I1653825:4818
6Lun Lok1653819:4518
7CFB Macau1635813:6314
8Sporting Macau1615109:458
9Casa de Portugal1601156:861
10Policia00000:00