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Benfica vs CF Os Belenenses

World World

Club Friendly
Fri, Jul 24, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Benfica host CF Os Belenenses in the Club Friendly. Little to choose between these two on current form. CF Os Belenenses have shipped 1 goals a game lately, while Benfica have conceded 1.13 and scored 2.25. Past meetings favor Benfica slightly — 1-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 5, 2046, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.63 - 1.13) back Benfica to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Benfica
28%
Draws
22%
CF Os Belenenses
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Benfica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • CF Os Belenenses haven't matched Benfica's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Benfica's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Benfica Clean Sheet 20%
CF Os Belenenses Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Benfica CF Os Belenenses
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 16 15
Draws 6 7
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 2.25 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2046 Liga Portugal
CF Os Belenenses vs Benfica
1:0
Jan 27, 2046 Liga Portugal
Benfica vs CF Os Belenenses
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Benfica 49 / 100
CF Os Belenenses 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Benfica CF Os Belenenses

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BEN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Benfica found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: CF Os Belenenses conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Benfica has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Benfica VS CF Os Belenenses
2.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%