Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Benfica vs Hearts

Europe Europe

Europa League Estádio da Luz, Lisbon
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Silva R.
Assist: Barreiro L.
23' Event
Araujo T.
Assist: Sudakov G.
33'
Prestianni G.

AI Match Summary

Benfica in this Europa League tie, finishing 6-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Benfica
15%
Draws
17%
Hearts
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Benfica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Benfica lately — more wins on the board than Hearts.
  • Benfica are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Benfica have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Benfica Clean Sheet 68%
Hearts Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Benfica Hearts
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 17 14
Draws 5 3
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 2.25 1.37
Goals Conceded 1 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Benfica Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Araujo T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Hearts Compare

Top Goalscorer Renaud T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Benfica 95 / 100
Hearts 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Benfica Hearts

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BEN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Benfica's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Hearts's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 27 matches.

Recent resilience: Benfica stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Hearts's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Benfica VS Hearts
2.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Benfica

(Home)
06 Aug
Benfica
6 : 1
Hearts
30 Jul
Benfica
5 : 0
St. Gallen
24 Jul
Benfica
5 : 1
CF Os Belenenses
23 Jul
St. Gallen
2 : 1
Benfica
17 Jul
Benfica
2 : 0
Villarreal
Page 1 of 6

Hearts

(Away)
06 Aug
Benfica
6 : 1
Hearts
01 Aug
Aberdeen
2 : 1
Hearts
28 Jul
Hearts
0 : 2
Sturm Graz
24 Jul
Raith
0 : 1
Hearts
21 Jul
Sturm Graz
4 : 0
Hearts
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Trabzonspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Twente -
TBD -
Vojvodina 1
Ferencvaros 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gornik Zabrze -
KuPS -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Univ. Craiova -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Truiden -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lincoln Red Imps -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Omonia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Plzen -
Shamrock Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KF Egnatia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lillestrom -
Jagiellonia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rangers -
Larne -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Iberia 1999 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hajduk Split 3
Zilina 2
TBD -
Pafos -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Salzburg -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dynamo Kyiv 1
Universitatea Cluj 0
TBD -
PAOK -
Hammarby -
TBD -
TBD -
Anderlecht -
Lech Poznan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Klaksvik -
Thun -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Tromso -
TBD -
TBD -
Hradec Kralove -
Besiktas -
TBD -
TBD -
Midtjylland -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Gallen -
TBD -
TBD -
Benfica -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hearts -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
OFI Crete -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sheriff Tiraspol 1
Aluminij 0
TBD -
Maccabi Tel Aviv -
Qarabag Agdam 6
Vestri 0
CSKA Sofia 5
Derry City 3
Quarter-finals
Trabzonspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Twente 3
Ferencvaros 4
TBD -
Gornik Zabrze -
KuPS -
TBD -
TBD -
Univ. Craiova -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Truiden -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lincoln Red Imps -
TBD -
TBD -
Omonia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Plzen -
Shamrock Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
KF Egnatia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lillestrom -
Jagiellonia -
TBD -
TBD -
Rangers -
Larne -
TBD -
TBD -
Iberia 1999 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hajduk Split 2
Pafos 4
TBD -
Salzburg -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dynamo Kyiv 2
PAOK 5
Hammarby 2
Anderlecht 4
Lech Poznan -
TBD -
TBD -
Klaksvik -
Thun -
TBD -
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Tromso 1
Hradec Kralove 4
Besiktas 3
Midtjylland 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Gallen 2
Benfica 6
TBD -
Hearts -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
OFI Crete -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sheriff Tiraspol 0
Maccabi Tel Aviv 6
Qarabag Agdam 0
CSKA Sofia 1
Semi-finals
Trabzonspor -
TBD -
Ferencvaros 1
Gornik Zabrze 0
KuPS 1
Univ. Craiova 1
TBD -
TBD -
St. Truiden -
TBD -
Lincoln Red Imps 1
Omonia 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Plzen -
Shamrock Rovers 3
KF Egnatia 1
TBD -
Lillestrom -
Jagiellonia 2
Rangers 1
Larne 0
Iberia 1999 0
TBD -
TBD -
Pafos 0
Salzburg 1
TBD -
TBD -
PAOK 0
Anderlecht 1
Lech Poznan 1
Klaksvik 0
Thun 3
Vikingur Reykjavik 0
Hradec Kralove 0
Besiktas 1
TBD -
TBD -
Benfica 6
Hearts 1
TBD -
TBD -
OFI Crete -
TBD -
Maccabi Tel Aviv 0
CSKA Sofia 3
Final
Trabzonspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Truiden -
TBD -
TBD -
Plzen -
TBD -
Lillestrom -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
OFI Crete -
TBD -