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Bengaluru FC vs Nepal Army

Asia Asia

AFC Cup 2021 Sree Kanteerava Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bengaluru FC play Nepal Army in the AFC Cup 2021. Bengaluru FC are favorites here. Recently, Bengaluru FC averaged 1.5 goals scored and 0.88 conceded. Nepal Army averaged 1 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. In past meetings, Bengaluru FC won 1, Nepal Army won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 14, 2021 ended 5:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.58 for Bengaluru FC and 0.94 for Nepal Army. This points to a Bengaluru FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Bengaluru FC
33%
Draws
27%
Nepal Army
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Bengaluru FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Bengaluru FC has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Nepal Army.
  • Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Bengaluru FC.
  • Cup tournament structure in AFC Cup 2021 increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Bengaluru FC Clean Sheet 20%
Nepal Army Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bengaluru FC Nepal Army
Matches Played 33 11
Wins 16 2
Draws 7 2
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.5 1
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2021 AFC Cup
Bengaluru FC vs Nepal Army
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bengaluru FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Bheke R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Cleiton Silva
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Nepal Army Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bengaluru FC 40 / 100
Nepal Army 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bengaluru FC Nepal Army

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BEN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bengaluru FC scored in 82% of their last 33 games.

Nepal Army let in goals in 91% of their last 11 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Bengaluru FC went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Nepal Army lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bengaluru FC VS Nepal Army
1.5 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.67
88% Over 1.5 67%
38% Over 2.5 33%
13% Over 3.5 33%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Bengaluru FC-
TBD-
Nepal Army5
Sri Lanka Police1
Abahani Limited Dhaka-
TBD-
Club Eagles2
Thimphu City0
Persipura Jayapura-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Visakha-
TBD-
TBD-
Lalenok-
Hantharwady United-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Chanthabouly-
TBD-
TBD-
Kasuka-
Shabab Al Amari-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Al Kuwait-
Semi-finals
Bengaluru FC5
Nepal Army0
Abahani Limited Dhaka-
Club Eagles-
Persipura Jayapura-
TBD-
Visakha-
Lalenok-
Hantharwady United-
TBD-
Chanthabouly-
Kasuka-
Shabab Al Amari-
TBD-
TBD-
Al Kuwait-
Final
Bengaluru FC1
Club Eagles0
Persipura Jayapura-
TBD-
Hantharwady United-
TBD-
Shabab Al Amari-
Al Kuwait-