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Stadium Background

Bengaluru United vs NEROCA

India India

I-League 2
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Tyagi A.
35' Event
Tyagi A.
90' Event
Meetei P. S.

AI Match Summary

The I-League 2 game between Bengaluru United and NEROCA finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bengaluru United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Bengaluru United
30%
Draws
23%
NEROCA
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bengaluru United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bengaluru United come out ahead of NEROCA on wins alone.
  • Model gives Bengaluru United a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Bengaluru United have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Bengaluru United Clean Sheet 20%
NEROCA Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bengaluru United NEROCA
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 9 8
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.41 1.2
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2026 I-League 2
Bengaluru United vs NEROCA
2:1
Mar 20, 2025 I-League 2
NEROCA vs Bengaluru United
0:2
Feb 1, 2025 I-League 2
Bengaluru United vs NEROCA
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bengaluru United Compare

Top Goalscorer Tyagi A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

NEROCA Compare

Top Goalscorer Meetei P. S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bengaluru United 85 / 100
NEROCA 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bengaluru United NEROCA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bengaluru United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: NEROCA conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Bengaluru United found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 2.67 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Bengaluru United stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bengaluru United VS NEROCA
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bengaluru United

(Home)
15 May
MYJ-GMSC
1 : 1
Bengaluru United
08 May
Bengaluru United
4 : 1
SC Goa
03 May
Bengaluru United
3 : 1
Delhi FC
27 Apr
Sudeva Delhi
1 : 0
Bengaluru United
21 Apr
Karbi Anglong
0 : 1
Bengaluru United
Page 1 of 6

NEROCA

(Away)
12 Aug
NEROCA
3 : 1
Raengdai
05 Aug
NEROCA
0 : 2
Indian Navy
28 Jul
TRAU FC
0 : 0
NEROCA
14 May
NEROCA
1 : 3
Sudeva Delhi
08 May
NEROCA
2 : 2
Karbi Anglong
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Delhi FC 8 5 2 1 20:10 17
2 Bengaluru United 8 4 3 1 12:6 15
3 United SC 8 4 3 1 7:5 15
4 SC Bengaluru 8 3 2 3 13:15 11
5 SC Goa 8 3 1 4 8:11 10
6 Karbi Anglong 8 2 4 2 10:7 10
7 Sudeva Delhi 8 3 1 4 6:7 10
8 MYJ-GMSC 8 1 2 5 8:19 5
9 NEROCA 8 1 2 5 11:15 5
Promotion - I-League 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - I-League 3 2026/2027 (Main)