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Bengaluru United vs NEROCA

India India

I-League 2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bengaluru United play NEROCA in the I-League 2. It looks like a close match. Recently, Bengaluru United averaged 1.36 goals scored and 0.93 conceded. NEROCA averaged 1.11 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. In past meetings, Bengaluru United won 2, NEROCA won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 15, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Bengaluru United and 0.76 for NEROCA. This points to a Bengaluru United double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Bengaluru United
18%
Draws
30%
NEROCA
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Bengaluru United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • Bengaluru United picked up more points recently compared to NEROCA.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 0.76 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
Bengaluru United Clean Sheet 27%
NEROCA Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 64%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bengaluru United NEROCA
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 10 6
Draws 9 6
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.36 1.11
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2026 I-League 2
Bengaluru United vs NEROCA
2:1
Mar 20, 2025 I-League 2
NEROCA vs Bengaluru United
0:2
Feb 1, 2025 I-League 2
Bengaluru United vs NEROCA
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bengaluru United Compare

Top Goalscorer Tyagi A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

NEROCA Compare

Top Goalscorer Meetei P. S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bengaluru United 52 / 100
NEROCA 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bengaluru United NEROCA

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Bengaluru United or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +18%
2.27
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.38
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Bengaluru United attacking → ← attacking NEROCA

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bengaluru United scored in 61% of their last 28 games.

NEROCA let in goals in 93% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Bengaluru United went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

NEROCA lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

39 Points in last 5 24
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Delhi FC852120:1017
2Bengaluru United843112:615
3United SC84317:515
4SC Bengaluru832313:1511
5SC Goa83148:1110
6Karbi Anglong824210:710
7Sudeva Delhi83146:710
8MYJ-GMSC81258:195
9NEROCA812511:155