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Beniel vs UCAM Murcia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 13 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

UCAM Murcia in this Tercera Division - Group 13 2010/2011 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored UCAM Murcia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Beniel
15%
Draws
64%
UCAM Murcia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: UCAM Murcia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to UCAM Murcia lately — more wins on the board than Beniel.
  • Model gives UCAM Murcia a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 13 2010/2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and UCAM Murcia have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Beniel Clean Sheet 18%
UCAM Murcia Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Beniel UCAM Murcia
Matches Played 36 40
Wins 3 23
Draws 5 4
Losses 28 13
Goals Scored 0.72 2.1
Goals Conceded 2.33 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Beniel vs UCAM Murcia
0:4
Oct 3, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
UCAM Murcia vs Beniel
2:0
Mar 21, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
UCAM Murcia vs Beniel
3:0
Nov 1, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Beniel vs UCAM Murcia
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Beniel 10 / 100
UCAM Murcia 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Beniel UCAM Murcia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UCAM Murcia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.

UCAM Murcia has conceded goals in 75% of their last 40 outings.

Beniel's goal record stands at 42% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

Beniel went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Beniel VS UCAM Murcia
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Beniel

(Home)
11 May
Beniel
0 : 4
Plus Ultra
05 May
CA Pulpileno
5 : 1
Beniel
27 Apr
Beniel
1 : 3
Futbol Club Jumilla
20 Apr
Beniel
2 : 0
Molina
14 Apr
Deportiva Minera
4 : 0
Beniel
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UCAM Murcia

(Away)
03 Oct
Ilicitano
1 : 5
UCAM Murcia
27 Sept
UCAM Murcia
1 : 2
CF Intercity
20 Sept
Baleares
1 : 4
UCAM Murcia
13 Sept
UCAM Murcia
1 : 0
Valencia B
05 Sept
Castellonense
2 : 1
UCAM Murcia
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UCAM Murcia 38 27 5 6 81:22 86
2 Real Murcia B 38 25 9 4 69:18 84
3 Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC 38 25 8 5 85:28 83
4 Cartagena La Union 38 25 6 7 72:36 81
5 Ciudad Cieza 38 25 5 8 74:28 80
6 Bala Azul 38 18 12 8 59:45 66
7 Lorca FC 38 17 9 12 58:51 60
8 CA Pulpileno 38 16 9 13 53:42 57
9 Molina 38 15 8 15 60:45 53
10 Pinatar 38 13 13 12 50:51 52
11 Club Edeco Fortuna 38 15 7 16 39:57 52
12 Plus Ultra 38 14 6 18 44:57 48
13 Santomera 38 12 9 17 43:57 45
14 Cartagena FC UCAM 38 11 10 17 43:61 43
15 Moratalla 38 11 8 19 44:69 41
16 Calasparra FC 38 11 8 19 45:64 41
17 Base Abaran 38 9 9 20 28:47 36
18 FC Puente Tocinos 38 9 6 23 42:85 33
19 Beniel 38 4 3 31 32:93 15
20 Lorca Deportiva 38 2 2 34 7:72 8
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)