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Benin vs Central Africa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations
Wed, Nov 11, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Africa Cup of Nations. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Central Africa have shipped 1.93 goals a game lately, while Benin have conceded 1.46 and scored 0.96. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (1.19 xG vs 1.38) point toward Benin. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Benin
30%
Draws
31%
Central Africa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Benin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Benin lately — more wins on the board than Central Africa.
  • Benin are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Benin have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 32.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Benin Clean Sheet 17%
Central Africa Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Benin Central Africa
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 10 5
Draws 6 5
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 0.96 0.74
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Benin 57 / 100
Central Africa 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Benin Central Africa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Benin Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Central Africa let in goals in 85% of their last 27 matches.

Benin's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Solid form: Benin remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Central Africa has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Benin VS Central Africa
0.38 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 80%
50% Over 2.5 60%
25% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Benin

(Home)
06 Oct
Argentina
3 : 0
Benin
29 Sept
Benin
2 : 1
Mauritania
25 Sept
Burkina Faso
1 : 1
Benin
09 Jun
Togo
5 : 1
Benin
05 Jun
Benin
1 : 1
Niger
Page 1 of 6

Central Africa

(Away)
28 Sept
Central Africa
0 : 1
Burkina Faso
24 Sept
Mauritania
3 : 1
Central Africa
09 Jun
Angola
3 : 0
Central Africa
05 Jun
Central Africa
1 : 1
Togo
12 Oct
Chad
2 : 3
Central Africa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
2 Gabon 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 Niger 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
4 Lesotho 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Egypt 2 1 1 0 5:0 4
2 Angola 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
3 Malawi 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
4 South Sudan 2 0 0 2 1:7 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ivory Coast 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
2 Gambia 2 2 0 0 6:3 6
3 Somalia 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
4 Ghana 2 0 0 2 2:6 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Africa 2 2 0 0 7:1 6
2 Guinea 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 Eritrea 2 0 1 1 1:6 1
4 Kenya 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 D.R. Congo 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
2 Zimbabwe 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
3 Equatorial Guinea 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
4 Sierra Leone 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benin 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
2 Burkina Faso 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
3 Mauritania 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
4 Central Africa 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cameroon 2 1 1 0 4:2 4
2 Comoros 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
3 Namibia 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
4 Congo 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uganda 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
2 Botswana 2 0 2 0 4:4 2
3 Tunisia 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
4 Libya 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Algeria 2 1 1 0 5:3 4
2 Zambia 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
3 Togo 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
4 Burundi 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Senegal 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
2 Mozambique 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
3 Sudan 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
4 Ethiopia 2 0 0 2 0:2 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rwanda 2 2 0 0 5:2 6
2 Mali 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
3 Cape Verde 2 0 0 2 2:5 0
4 Liberia 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guinea Bissau 2 2 0 0 5:0 6
2 Nigeria 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
3 Tanzania 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
4 Madagascar 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)