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Benin vs Libya

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations 2025 Stade Félix Houphouët-Boigny, Abidjan
Benin Logo

Benin

2 - 1
FT
Libya Logo

Libya

Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Al Badri F.
(Penalty)
13'
Shafshuf S.
45'
Elsharimi O.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Benin advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Benin
35%
Draws
30%
Libya
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Libya come out ahead of Benin on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Libya arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Benin, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 48%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Benin Clean Sheet 68%
Libya Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Benin Libya
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 10 13
Draws 6 11
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 0.96 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.39 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 18, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations
Libya vs Benin
0:0
Sep 10, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations
Benin vs Libya
2:1
Feb 9, 2011 Friendly International
Libya vs Benin
3:2
Jan 6, 2010 Friendly International
Benin vs Libya
1:0
Oct 9, 2005 World Championship
Benin vs Libya
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Benin Compare

Top Goalscorer Mounie S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Libya Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Benin 42 / 100
Libya 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Benin Libya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Benin scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

Libya has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Benin stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Benin VS Libya
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 33%
63% Over 2.5 33%
38% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Benin

(Home)
09 Jun
Togo
5 : 1
Benin
05 Jun
Benin
1 : 1
Niger
31 Mar
Guinea
0 : 1
Benin
27 Mar
Benin
1 : 0
Liberia
05 Jan
Egypt
3 : 1
Benin
Page 1 of 6

Libya

(Away)
31 Mar
Liberia
2 : 2
Libya
27 Mar
Libya
0 : 0
Niger
25 Nov
Palestine
1 : 0
Libya
15 Nov
Libya
1 : 0
Mauritania
13 Oct
Mauritius
0 : 0
Libya
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Comoros 6 3 3 0 7:4 12
2 Tunisia 6 3 1 2 7:6 10
3 Gambia 6 2 2 2 6:6 8
4 Madagascar 6 0 2 4 4:8 2
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco 6 6 0 0 26:2 18
2 Gabon 6 3 1 2 7:9 10
3 Lesotho 6 1 1 4 2:13 4
4 Central Africa 6 1 0 5 3:14 3
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Egypt 6 4 2 0 12:2 14
2 Botswana 6 2 2 2 4:7 8
3 Mauritania 6 2 1 3 3:6 7
4 Cape Verde 6 1 1 4 3:7 4
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nigeria 6 3 2 1 9:3 11
2 Benin 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
3 Rwanda 6 2 2 2 5:7 8
4 Libya 6 1 2 3 3:7 5
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Algeria 6 5 1 0 16:2 16
2 Equatorial Guinea 6 2 2 2 5:8 8
3 Togo 6 1 2 3 7:10 5
4 Liberia 6 1 1 4 4:12 4
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Angola 6 4 2 0 7:2 14
2 Sudan 6 2 2 2 4:6 8
3 Niger 6 2 1 3 7:6 7
4 Ghana 6 0 3 3 3:7 3
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zambia 6 4 1 1 7:4 13
2 Ivory Coast 6 4 0 2 12:3 12
3 Sierra Leone 6 1 2 3 5:10 5
4 Chad 6 0 3 3 1:8 3
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 D.R. Congo 6 4 0 2 7:3 12
2 Tanzania 6 3 1 2 5:4 10
3 Guinea 6 3 0 3 9:5 9
4 Ethiopia 6 1 1 4 3:12 4
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mali 6 4 2 0 10:1 14
2 Mozambique 6 3 2 1 9:5 11
3 Guinea Bissau 6 1 2 3 4:6 5
4 Eswatini 6 0 2 4 2:13 2
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cameroon 6 4 2 0 8:2 14
2 Zimbabwe 6 2 3 1 6:4 9
3 Kenya 6 1 3 2 4:7 6
4 Namibia 6 0 2 4 2:7 2
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Africa 6 4 2 0 16:5 14
2 Uganda 6 4 1 1 8:5 13
3 Congo 6 1 1 4 4:12 4
4 South Sudan 6 1 0 5 6:12 3
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Senegal 6 5 1 0 10:1 16
2 Burkina Faso 6 3 1 2 10:7 10
3 Burundi 6 1 1 4 4:11 4
4 Malawi 6 1 1 4 6:11 4
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)