Sport Picks

Africa

Africa Cup of Nations 2025 Stade Félix Houphouët-Boigny, Abidjan

Benin

3 - 0

Rwanda

Our Tip

Match Events

Mounie S.

Assist: Dossou J.

37'

Sub

Manzi T. In: Niyigena C.

Out: Manzi T.

39'

Kwizera J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-0, with Benin advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%

Benin

15%

Draws

48%

Rwanda

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rwanda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence

Benin's 0.96 goals per match outpaces what Rwanda have produced (0.93).
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
Historical meetings favor Benin, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
These two have met 5 times recently and Benin have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 53%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24%

Benin Clean Sheet 17%

Rwanda Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Benin	Rwanda
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	10	10
Draws	6	6
Losses	12	12
Goals Scored	0.96	0.93
Goals Conceded	1.39	1
Expected Goals (xG)	0.72	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2025 World Championship

Rwanda vs Benin

0:1

Oct 15, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations

Rwanda vs Benin

2:1

Oct 11, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations

Benin vs Rwanda

3:0

Jun 6, 2024 World Championship

Benin vs Rwanda

1:0

Mar 29, 2023 Africa Cup of Nations

Rwanda vs Benin

0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Benin Compare

Top Goalscorer Mounie S.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Hountondji A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.55

Avg xA / game 0.36

Rwanda Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Benin 31 / 100

Rwanda 41 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Benin Rwanda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rwanda Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Benin scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

Rwanda let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Recent resilience: Benin stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Benin VS Rwanda

0.88 Goals Scored 1

1.75 Goals Conceded 0.57

63% Over 1.5 43%

63% Over 2.5 29%

38% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Benin

(Home)

09 Jun

Togo

5 : 1

Benin

05 Jun

Benin

1 : 1

Niger

31 Mar

Guinea

0 : 1

Benin

27 Mar

Benin

1 : 0

Liberia

05 Jan

Egypt

3 : 1

Benin

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Rwanda

(Away)

30 Mar

Rwanda

2 : 0

Estonia

27 Mar

Rwanda

4 : 0

Grenada

14 Oct

South Africa

3 : 0

Rwanda

10 Oct

Rwanda

0 : 1

Benin

09 Sept

Zimbabwe

0 : 1

Rwanda

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