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Benin W vs Mali W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Olympic Games Women
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Gandonou R.
16' Event
Gandonou R.
47' Event
Sadikou M.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-1. This leg finished 3-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Benin W
15%
Draws
34%
Mali W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Benin W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Benin W haven't matched Mali W's recent run of results.
  • Benin W are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Mali W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Mali W, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Mali W have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Benin W Clean Sheet 68%
Mali W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Benin W Mali W
Matches Played 27 43
Wins 6 18
Draws 2 11
Losses 19 14
Goals Scored 1.19 2.12
Goals Conceded 2 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2026 Olympic Games Women
Benin W vs Mali W
3:1
Aug 6, 2006 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Benin W vs Mali W
0:1
Jul 22, 2006 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Mali W vs Benin W
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Benin W Compare

Top Goalscorer Gandonou R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sadikou M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Mali W Compare

Top Goalscorer Traore A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Benin W 50 / 100
Mali W 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Benin W Mali W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Benin W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Benin W found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (27 games).

Mali W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 42 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Mali W's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Benin W VS Mali W
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Benin W

(Home)
08 Oct
Benin W
3 : 1
Mali W
11 Jul
Cameroon W
3 : 1
Benin W
09 Jun
Morocco U23 W
3 : 2
Benin W
05 Jun
Morocco W
4 : 2
Benin W
14 Apr
Benin W
2 : 0
Comoros W
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Mali W

(Away)
08 Oct
Benin W
3 : 1
Mali W
06 Aug
Mali W
1 : 1
Ghana W
02 Aug
Mali W
3 : 2
Cape Verde W
29 Jul
Cameroon W
2 : 1
Mali W
20 Jul
Mali W
0 : 1
Ivory Coast W
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Tunisia W -
TBD -
TBD -
Senegal W -
Benin W -
TBD -
TBD -
Mali W -
Congo W -
TBD -
TBD -
Morocco W -
Sudan W 0
Comoros W 30
TBD -
Nigeria W -
Guinea W -
TBD -
TBD -
Cameroon W -
D.R. Congo W -
TBD -
TBD -
Ivory Coast W -
Central Africa W -
TBD -
TBD -
Algeria W -
Burkina Faso W -
TBD -
TBD -
Equatorial Guinea W -
Rwanda W -
TBD -
TBD -
Ethiopia W -
Botswana W -
TBD -
TBD -
Tanzania W -
Angola W -
TBD -
TBD -
Namibia W -
South Sudan W 1
Madagascar W 2
TBD -
South Africa W -
Seychelles W -
TBD -
TBD -
Kenya W -
Malawi W -
TBD -
TBD -
Zimbabwe W -
Uganda W -
TBD -
TBD -
Zambia W -
Mauritius W 3
Djibouti W 1
TBD -
Ghana W -
1/8-finals
Tunisia W 0
Senegal W 1
Benin W 3
Mali W 1
Congo W -
Morocco W -
Comoros W 0
Nigeria W 2
Guinea W -
Cameroon W -
D.R. Congo W 1
Ivory Coast W 4
Central Africa W 0
Algeria W 8
Burkina Faso W 3
Equatorial Guinea W 1
Rwanda W 0
Ethiopia W 1
Botswana W 0
Tanzania W 1
Angola W 0
Namibia W 0
Madagascar W 0
South Africa W 4
Seychelles W 0
Kenya W 11
Malawi W 2
Zimbabwe W 0
Uganda W 2
Zambia W 1
Mauritius W 0
Ghana W 3
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
Morocco W -
TBD -
Cameroon W -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Semi-finals
TBD -
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TBD -
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Final
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -