Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Benkovski vs Ustrem Donchevo

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Third League - North-East 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Benkovski
15%
Draws
49%
Ustrem Donchevo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ustrem Donchevo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Benkovski lately — more wins on the board than Ustrem Donchevo.
  • Benkovski are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Benkovski Clean Sheet 12%
Ustrem Donchevo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Benkovski Ustrem Donchevo
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 15 14
Draws 5 3
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.86 2.26
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Third League - North-East
Ustrem Donchevo vs Benkovski
3:2
Nov 29, 2025 Third League - North-East
Benkovski vs Ustrem Donchevo
2:2
Apr 12, 2025 Third League - North-East
Ustrem Donchevo vs Benkovski
4:1
Oct 5, 2024 Third League - North-East
Benkovski vs Ustrem Donchevo
0:0
May 1, 2024 Third League - North-East
Ustrem Donchevo vs Benkovski
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Benkovski 35 / 100
Ustrem Donchevo 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Benkovski Ustrem Donchevo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Benkovski scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Ustrem Donchevo let in goals in 81% of their last 27 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Benkovski has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Benkovski VS Ustrem Donchevo
2 Goals Scored 2.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Benkovski

(Home)
30 May
Benkovski
1 : 0
Ludogorets III
23 May
Ustrem Donchevo
3 : 2
Benkovski
17 May
Benkovski
0 : 2
Volov Shumen
13 May
Aksakovo
0 : 1
Benkovski
09 May
Benkovski
4 : 1
Botev Novi Pazar
Page 1 of 6

Ustrem Donchevo

(Away)
30 May
FK Riltzi
2 : 4
Ustrem Donchevo
23 May
Ustrem Donchevo
3 : 2
Benkovski
16 May
Chernolomets
3 : 0
Ustrem Donchevo
13 May
Ustrem Donchevo
3 : 0
Svetkavitsa
09 May
Olympic Varna
1 : 2
Ustrem Donchevo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chernomorets Balchik 32 27 4 1 92:14 85
2 Ludogorets III 32 25 4 3 101:19 79
3 Septemvri Tervel 32 25 3 4 89:22 78
4 Volov Shumen 32 23 3 6 93:28 72
5 Chernolomets 32 20 3 9 78:43 63
6 Benkovski 32 18 6 8 68:40 60
7 Cherno More II 32 16 7 9 65:44 55
8 Ustrem Donchevo 32 17 3 12 73:67 54
9 Olympic Varna 32 10 6 16 58:80 36
10 Aksakovo 32 9 4 19 40:68 31
11 Fratria II 32 8 6 18 40:71 30
12 Svetkavitsa 2014 32 7 8 17 26:48 29
13 Botev Novi Pazar 32 8 5 19 34:69 29
14 Dorostol 32 8 4 20 29:67 28
15 Spartak Varna II 32 7 5 20 42:72 26
16 FK Riltzi 32 6 4 22 31:83 22
17 Svetkavitsa 32 0 1 31 5:129 1
Promotion - Vtora liga 2025/2026 (Main)